Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Tropicana Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Adam Conley (4-1) vs. Matt Moore (2-4)

The Tampa Bay Rays host the Miami Marlins at Tropicana Field on Tuesday. The probable starters are Adam Conley for the Marlins and Matt Moore for the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +137 and Tampa Bay at -147. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins have a 74-74 over/under record and a 77-79 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Rays are 85-71 against the run line and have a 70-74 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 69-87 record, including 28-47 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Conley holds a 4-1 record with an earned run average of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.31. He's pitched 55 innings thus far while surrendering 54 hits over that time and when he starts, the Marlins are 8-1. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 5-3. He is getting 7.1 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.60 and they've given up 442 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen while being struck out 481 times and walking 207 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.59 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.24 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01.

As a team, Miami is batting .260, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .260 average away from home. Ranked at 23rd in the league in on-base percentage, the Marlins sit at .310 and they hold a .385 team slugging percentage. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.76 hits per game and Dee Gordon leads the team with 196.

With a 36-39 home record, Tampa Bay will hope to improve on their 75-81 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.48, Matt Moore will come into this game holding a 2-4 record and a 1.62 WHIP. He's pitched 50 innings thus far while surrendering 63 hits over that time in which the Rays are 3-7. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 4-3. He is getting 4 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.85 and they have given up 461 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .234 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 490 times and walking 191 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.09 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.44 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76.

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .245 average at home. Ranked at 19th in the league in on-base percentage, the Rays sit at .314 and they hold a .403 team slugging percentage. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.51 hits per game and Evan Longoria leads the team with 156.

The Marlins have committed 73 errors and have combined for 1,538 assists and 4,131 put outs leading to a .987 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .984 team fielding percentage while committing 92 errors, accumulating 1,345 assists and compiling 4,198 put outs.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 74-74 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 77-79 against the run line so far this season

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays are 70-74 against the over/under so far this season

The Tampa Bay Rays are 85-71 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

09/25/15 P Jarred Cosart Forearm left last start, probable for next start
08/26/15 P Kendry Flores Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/22)
08/17/15 P David Phelps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/16)
08/04/15 P Carter Capps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/3); out for season
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/22); out for season
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/13), out for season
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29); out for season

Tampa Bay Rays

09/23/15 P Nathan Karns Arm out for season
09/18/15 CF Desmond Jennings Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/26); out for season
08/26/15 C Curt Casali Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/25)
05/09/15 P Alex Cobb Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/29/15 P Kirby Yates Pectoral Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/29)
04/18/15 P Jeff Beliveau Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/22), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Rays

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