Saturday, July 18, 2015

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler (7-5) vs. Chad Billingsley (1-3)

The Miami Marlins take on the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park. The probable starters are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and Chad Billingsley for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -128 and Philadelphia at +118. The over/under was set at 8. The Marlins have a 40-44 over/under record and a 43-46 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Phillies have a 48-36 over/under record and a 41-50 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 45% of the time.

The Marlins show up with a 38-51 record, including 14-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Tom Koehler holds a 7-5 record with an earned run average of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.23. He's pitched 98 innings thus far while surrendering 88 hits over that time and when he starts, the Marlins are 9-7. The Marlins are also 6-8 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4.2 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.36 and they have given up 253 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .240 against the Marlins bullpen while walking 98 times and striking out 277 times. Miami is averaging 7.15 strikeouts per game while getting 8.5 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 13th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.79.

Miami ranks 14th in the league in team batting average at .255 while hitting .249 on the road. The Marlins hold a .379 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305 which is good for 23rd in baseball. Dee Gordon leads the team in hits with 122 while the team ranks 13th in baseball with 8.62 hits per game.

Philadelphia is 18-25 at home while holding a 29-62 overall record on the season. With an earned run average of 6.75, Chad Billingsley will come into this game holding a 1-3 record and a 1.75 WHIP. He's pitched 32 innings thus far while surrendering 49 hits over that time in which the Phillies are 2-4. The Phillies are also 4-2 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 302 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .258 against the Phillies bullpen while walking 134 times and striking out 295 times. Philadelphia is averaging 7.4 strikeouts per game while getting 10.15 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 30th in the league in team earned run average at 4.83.

They rank 23rd in the league in team batting average with a .246 average while hitting .244 at home. The Phillies hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 27th in baseball. Ben Revere leads the team in hits with 98 while the team ranks 19th in baseball with 8.41 hits a game.

Miami has a team fielding percentage of .988 after having committed 39 errors with 895 assists and 2,353 put outs for the season. The Phillies have committed 65 errors on the season with 873 assists and 2,394 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .980 on the year.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 40-44 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 43-46 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 48-36 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 41-50 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

07/12/15 2B Dee Gordon Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/12)
07/11/15 P Mat Latos Foot "?" next scheduled start
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/22)
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/13)
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29) out for season

Philadelphia Phillies

07/02/15 P Aaron Harang Foot Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/2)
06/23/15 2B Chase Utley Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/22)
06/17/15 P Jerome Williams Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/17)
04/06/15 P Jonathan Pettibone Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Mario Hollands Arch Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Cliff Lee Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/16)

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies

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