Friday, July 17, 2015
Citizens Bank Park
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez (2-0) vs. Adam Morgan (1-2)
The Miami Marlins head to Citizens Bank Park on Friday to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. Jose Fernandez is the probable starter for the Marlins and he'll face Adam Morgan of the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -137 and Philadelphia at +127. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins have a 40-44 over/under record and a 43-46 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Phillies are 41-50 against the run line and have a 48-36 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
The Marlins show up with a 38-51 record, including 14-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez holds a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.00. He's pitched 13 innings thus far while surrendering 13 hits over that time and when he starts, the Marlins are 2-0. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 1-1. The team is averaging 3.5 runs when he starts. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.36 and they've given up 253 hits on the season. The bullpen has struck out 277 and walked 98 batters this season while opposing teams hit .240 against them. Miami has a team average of 8.5 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.15 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.79, they are 13th in the league.
Miami is batting .255 as a team, which is good for 14th in the league and hitting .249 away from home. Ranked at 23rd in the league in on-base percentage, the Marlins sit at .305 and they hold a .379 team slugging percentage. With 122 hits, Dee Gordon leads the team while his team ranks 13th in hits per game with 8.62.
Philadelphia is 18-25 at home while holding a 29-62 overall record on the season. With an earned run average of 4.32, Adam Morgan will come into this game holding a 1-2 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He's pitched 16.2 innings thus far while surrendering 17 hits over that time in which the Phillies are 1-2. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 1-2. The team is averaging 3.3 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.79 and they have given up 302 hits on the season. The Phillies bullpen has struck out 295 batters and walked 134 this season while opposing teams have hit .258 against them. Philadelphia has a team average of 10.15 hits per game and are averaging 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.83, they are 30th in the league.
They are batting .246 as a team, which is good for 23rd in the league and hitting .244 at home. Ranked at 27th in the league in on-base percentage, the Phillies sit at .297 and they hold a .363 team slugging percentage. With 98 hits, Ben Revere leads the team while his team ranks 19th in hits per game with 8.41.
The Marlins have committed 39 errors and have combined for 895 assists and 2,353 put outs leading to a .988 team fielding percentage. Over the course of this season, the Phillies have accumlated 65 errors while having 873 assists and 2,394 put outs leading to a .980 fielding percentage.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 40-44 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 43-46 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 48-36 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 41-50 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Miami Marlins
07/12/15 2B Dee Gordon Thumb out indefinitely
07/11/15 P Mat Latos Foot "?" next scheduled start
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/16/15 3B Martin Prado Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/15)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/22)
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/13)
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29) out for season
Philadelphia Phillies
07/02/15 P Aaron Harang Foot Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/2)
06/23/15 2B Chase Utley Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/22)
06/17/15 P Jerome Williams Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/17)
04/06/15 P Jonathan Pettibone Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Mario Hollands Arch Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Cliff Lee Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/16)
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks