Sunday, October 4, 2015

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Adam Conley (4-1) vs. David Buchanan (2-9)

The Miami Marlins take on the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday at Citizens Bank Park. The Marlins send Adam Conley to the mound to face David Buchanan of the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -122 and Philadelphia at +112. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Marlins have a 75-76 over/under record and a 77-82 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Phillies have a 84-63 over/under record and a 83-76 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 52% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 69-90 record, including 28-50 on the road. Adam Conley has an earned run average of 3.84 and is 4-1 so far on the season while having a 1.30 WHIP. In his starts, the Marlins are 8-2 over his 61 innings pitched this season while giving up 59 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 5-4. His teammates are averaging 6.6 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have given up 453 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 488 and walked 208 batters this season while opposing teams hit .236 against them. Miami has a team average of 8.65 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.27 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.02, they are 16th in the league.

Miami ranks 9th in the league in team batting average at .259 while hitting .259 on the road. The Marlins hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 23rd in baseball. With 198 hits, Dee Gordon leads the team while his team ranks 9th in hits per game with 8.73.

With a 36-42 home record, Philadelphia will hope to improve on their 62-97 overall mark. David Buchanan is starting this game 2-9 for the season with an earned run average of 7.54 and a WHIP of 1.93. In his starts, the Phillies are 3-11 and he has allowed 103 hits over 68 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 7-5. His teammates score an average of 3.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 543 base hits on the year. The Phillies bullpen has struck out 505 batters and walked 223 this season while opposing teams have hit .258 against them. Philadelphia has a team average of 9.96 hits per game and are averaging 7.22 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.71, they are 29th in the league.

They rank 25th in the league in team batting average with a .248 average while hitting .247 at home. The Phillies hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 29th in baseball. With 146 hits, Freddy Galvis leads the team while his team ranks 21st in hits per game with 8.47.

Miami has a team fielding percentage of .987 after having committed 74 errors with 1,560 assists and 4,203 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Phillies have accumulated 114 errors while having 1,548 assists and 4,228 put outs leading to a .981 fielding percentage.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 75-76 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 77-82 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 84-63 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 83-76 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

09/30/15 SS Adeiny Hechavarria Hamstring out indefinitely
09/25/15 P Jarred Cosart Forearm left last start, probable for next start
08/26/15 P Kendry Flores Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/22)
08/17/15 P David Phelps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/16)
08/04/15 P Carter Capps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/3); out for season
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21), out for season
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/22); out for season
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/13), out for season
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29); out for season

Philadelphia Phillies

09/21/15 1B Ryan Howard Knee out indefinitely
09/14/15 3B Cesar Hernandez Thumb Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/14)
09/03/15 RF Domonic Brown Concussion out for season
09/01/15 P Matt Harrison Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/31), out for season
08/28/15 P Elvis Araujo Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/28), out for season
07/21/15 P Chad Billingsley Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/19), out for season
04/06/15 P Jonathan Pettibone Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Mario Hollands Arch Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Cliff Lee Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/16)

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins

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