Saturday, October 3, 2015

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Justin Nicolino (4-4) vs. Alec Asher (0-5)

The Miami Marlins visit Citizens Bank Park on Saturday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The Marlins send Justin Nicolino to the mound to face Alec Asher of the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +123 and Philadelphia at -133. The over/under was set at 8. The Marlins, with a 77-82 run line record, cover the spread 48% of the time. They also have a 75-76 over/under record. The Phillies have a 84-63 over/under record and a 83-76 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 52% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 69-90 record, including 28-50 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Nicolino holds a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.28. He's pitched 67 innings thus far while surrendering 66 hits over that time and when he starts, the Marlins are 5-6. Against the over/under, the Marlins are 5-4 in his starts. He is getting 3.6 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have given up 453 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .236 against the Marlins bullpen while walking 208 times and striking out 488 times. Miami is averaging 7.27 strikeouts per game while getting 8.65 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 17th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.02.

As a team, Miami is batting .259, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .259 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 23rd in baseball. Dee Gordon leads the team in hits with 198 while the team ranks 10th in baseball with 8.73 hits per game.

With a 36-42 home record, Philadelphia will hope to improve on their 62-97 overall mark. With an earned run average of 9.00, Alec Asher will come into this game holding a 0-5 record and a 1.70 WHIP. He's pitched 27 innings thus far while surrendering 36 hits over that time in which the Phillies are 1-5. Against the over/under, the Phillies are 5-1 when he starts. He is getting 3 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 543 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .258 against the Phillies bullpen while walking 223 times and striking out 505 times. Philadelphia is averaging 7.22 strikeouts per game while getting 9.96 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.71.

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .247 average at home. The Phillies hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 29th in baseball. Freddy Galvis leads the team in hits with 146 while the team ranks 21st in baseball with 8.47 hits a game.

Miami has a team fielding percentage of .987 after having committed 74 errors with 1,560 assists and 4,203 put outs for the season. The Phillies have committed 114 errors on the season with 1,548 assists and 4,228 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .981 on the year.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 75-76 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 77-82 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 84-63 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 83-76 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

09/30/15 SS Adeiny Hechavarria Hamstring out indefinitely
09/25/15 P Jarred Cosart Forearm left last start, probable for next start
08/26/15 P Kendry Flores Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/22)
08/17/15 P David Phelps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/16)
08/04/15 P Carter Capps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/3); out for season
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21), out for season
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/22); out for season
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/13), out for season
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29); out for season

Philadelphia Phillies

09/21/15 1B Ryan Howard Knee out indefinitely
09/14/15 3B Cesar Hernandez Thumb Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/14)
09/03/15 RF Domonic Brown Concussion out for season
09/01/15 P Matt Harrison Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/31), out for season
08/28/15 P Elvis Araujo Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/28), out for season
07/21/15 P Chad Billingsley Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/19), out for season
04/06/15 P Jonathan Pettibone Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Mario Hollands Arch Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Cliff Lee Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/16)

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins

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