Friday, October 2, 2015

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Justin Nicolino (4-4) vs. Aaron Harang (6-15)

The Miami Marlins take on the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday at Citizens Bank Park. Justin Nicolino is the probable starter for the Marlins and he'll face Aaron Harang of the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -119 and Philadelphia at +109. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Marlins have a 75-75 over/under record and a 77-81 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Phillies are 83-76 against the run line and have a 84-63 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.

The Marlins come into this game with a 69-89 record, and they are 28-49 away from home. Starting pitcher Justin Nicolino holds a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.28. The Marlins are 5-6 over his 67 innings pitched and he's also given up 66 hits over that time period. The Marlins are also 5-4 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 3.6 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 448 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.59. The bullpen has struck out 487 and walked 208 batters this season while opposing teams hit .234 against them. Miami has a team average of 8.6 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.25 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.02, they are 17th in the league.

As a team, Miami is batting .260, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .260 average away from home. The Marlins on-base percentage sits at .310, which puts them at 23rd in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .384. With 198 hits, Dee Gordon leads the team while his team ranks 10th in hits per game with 8.76.

With a 62-97 overall record, Philadelphia will come into this game 36-42 at home. With an earned run average of 4.86, Aaron Harang will come into this game holding a 6-15 record and a 1.39 WHIP. The Phillies have a record of 11-17 over the 166.2 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 181 hits. The Phillies are also 14-12 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 3.8 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 543 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.81. The Phillies bullpen has struck out 505 batters and walked 223 this season while opposing teams have hit .258 against them. Philadelphia has a team average of 9.99 hits per game and are averaging 7.19 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.74, they are 29th in the league.

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .247 average at home. The Phillies on-base percentage sits at .302, which puts them at 29th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .380. With 144 hits, Freddy Galvis leads the team while his team ranks 21st in hits per game with 8.49.

In terms of team defense, the Marlins have a fielding percentage of .987 with 74 total errors, 1,557 assists and 4,179 put outs. Over the course of this season, the Phillies have accumulated 114 errors while having 1,537 assists and 4,201 put outs leading to a .981 fielding percentage.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 75-75 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 77-81 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 84-63 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 83-76 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

09/30/15 SS Adeiny Hechavarria Hamstring out indefinitely
09/25/15 P Jarred Cosart Forearm left last start, probable for next start
08/26/15 P Kendry Flores Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/22)
08/17/15 P David Phelps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/16)
08/04/15 P Carter Capps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/3); out for season
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21), out for season
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/22); out for season
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/13), out for season
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29); out for season

Philadelphia Phillies

09/21/15 1B Ryan Howard Knee out indefinitely
09/14/15 3B Cesar Hernandez Thumb Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/14)
09/03/15 RF Domonic Brown Concussion out for season
09/01/15 P Matt Harrison Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/31), out for season
08/28/15 P Elvis Araujo Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/28), out for season
07/21/15 P Chad Billingsley Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/19), out for season
04/06/15 P Jonathan Pettibone Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Mario Hollands Arch Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Cliff Lee Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/16)

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink