Sunday, June 21, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: David Phelps (4-3) vs. Michael Lorenzen (2-2)

The Miami Marlins visit Great American Ball Park on Sunday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are David Phelps for the Marlins and Michael Lorenzen for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +103 and Cincinnati at -113. The over/under was set at 8. The Marlins, with a 32-37 run line record, cover the spread 46% of the time. They also have a 32-34 over/under record. The Reds have a 33-29 over/under record and a 34-32 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 52% of the time.

The Marlins show up with a 29-40 record, including 12-23 on the road. David Phelps has a 4-3 record on the season, an earned run average of 3.96 and a 1.28 WHIP. He's pitched 72.2 innings thus far while surrendering 74 hits over that time and when he starts, the Marlins are 5-7. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 6-6. The team is averaging 4.7 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.92 and they have given up 212 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 213 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.73 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.13 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.03.

Miami is batting .259 as a team, which is good for 9th in the league and hitting .255 away from home. The Marlins hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.84 hits per game and Dee Gordon leads the team with 100.

Cincinnati is 19-13 at home while holding a 31-35 overall record on the season. Michael Lorenzen has a record of 2-2 while sporting an earned run average of 3.70 on the year with a 1.44 WHIP. He's pitched 48.2 innings thus far while surrendering 42 hits over that time in which the Reds are 4-4. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 5-3. The team is averaging 4.8 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.12 and they have given up 174 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 185 times and walking 84 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.29 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01.

They are batting .245 as a team, which is good for 21st in the league and hitting .256 at home. The Reds hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.29 hits per game and Todd Frazier leads the team with 76.

Miami has a team fielding percentage of .990 after having committed 26 errors with 700 assists and 1,828 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .988 team fielding percentage while committing 31 errors, accumulating 682 assists and compiling 1,770 put outs.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 32-34 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 32-37 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 33-29 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 34-32 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

06/16/15 3B Martin Prado Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/15)
06/09/15 P Bryan Morris Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/7)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/22)
05/26/15 1B Michael Morse Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/24)
05/18/15 P Jarred Cosart Vertigo Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/14)
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/13)
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29) out for season
04/06/15 P Jose Fernandez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Cincinnati Reds

06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/16)
06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
06/05/15 P Rasiel Iglesias Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/05)
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 CF Jason Bourgeois Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins

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