Sunday, July 5, 2015

Wrigley Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Mat Latos (3-5) vs. Kyle Hendricks (3-4)

The Miami Marlins take on the Chicago Cubs on Sunday at Wrigley Field. The probable starters are Mat Latos for the Marlins and Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +130 and Chicago at -140. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins, with a 38-43 run line record, cover the spread 47% of the time. They also have a 37-40 over/under record. The Cubs have a 30-42 over/under record and a 34-44 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 44% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 35-46 record, including 14-24 on the road. Mat Latos has a 3-5 record on the season, an earned run average of 5.27 and a 1.40 WHIP. He's pitched 68.1 innings thus far while surrendering 74 hits over that time and when he starts, the Marlins are 5-8. Against the over/under, the Marlins are 8-5 in his starts. The team is averaging 3.5 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 243 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.60. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen while being struck out 253 times and walking 93 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.72 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.1 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95.

Miami is batting .254 as a team, which is good for 15th in the league and hitting .251 away from home. The Marlins on-base percentage sits at .306, which puts them at 22nd in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .381. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.58 hits per game and Dee Gordon leads the team with 115.

With a 20-16 home record, Chicago will hope to improve on their 42-36 overall mark. Kyle Hendricks has a record of 3-4 while sporting an earned run average of 4.15 on the year with a 1.18 WHIP. He's pitched 84.2 innings thus far while surrendering 84 hits over that time in which the Cubs are 8-7. Against the over/under, the Cubs are 8-7 when he starts. The team is averaging 3.9 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has given up 201 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 2.93. Teams are hitting .221 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 233 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7.97 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.38.

They are batting .242 as a team, which is good for 25th in the league and hitting .234 at home. The Cubs on-base percentage sits at .317, which puts them at 14th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .382. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.29 hits per game and Anthony Rizzo leads the team with 85.

In terms of team defense, the Marlins have a fielding percentage of .989 with 33 total errors, 833 assists and 2,149 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .981 team fielding percentage while committing 56 errors, accumulating 788 assists and compiling 2,120 put outs.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 37-40 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 38-43 against the run line so far this season

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 30-42 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 34-44 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/16/15 3B Martin Prado Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/15)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/22)
05/26/15 1B Michael Morse Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/24)
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/13)
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29) out for season

Chicago Cubs

06/29/15 P Tsuyoshi Wada Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/23)
06/03/15 RF Jorge Soler Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/2)
04/17/15 3B Mike Olt Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/15)
04/15/15 2B Tommy La Stella Ribs Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/9)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs

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