Wednesday, July 8, 2015

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler (7-4) vs. Rick Porcello (4-9)

The Boston Red Sox host the Miami Marlins at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The probable starters are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +133 and Boston at -143. The over/under was set at 9. The Marlins, with a 38-45 run line record, cover the spread 46% of the time. They also have a 38-41 over/under record. The Red Sox are 36-48 against the run line and have a 40-41 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.

The Marlins show up with a 35-48 record, including 14-26 on the road. Tom Koehler has a 7-4 record on the season, an earned run average of 3.52 and a 1.24 WHIP. In his starts, the Marlins are 9-6 over his 92 innings pitched this season while giving up 83 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 6-8. He is getting 4.3 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 245 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 258 and walked 94 batters this season while opposing teams hit .246 against them. Miami has a team average of 8.61 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.12 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.97, they are 18th in the league.

As a team, Miami is batting .253, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .249 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .378 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 23rd in baseball. With 116 hits, Dee Gordon leads the team while his team ranks 15th in hits per game with 8.55.

Boston is 19-21 at home while holding a 39-45 overall record on the season. Rick Porcello has a record of 4-9 while sporting an earned run average of 6.08 on the year with a 1.40 WHIP. In his starts, the Red Sox are 7-9 and he has allowed 111 hits over 94.2 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 8-8. He is getting 3.7 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 270 base hits on the year. The Red Sox bullpen has struck out 227 batters and walked 94 this season while opposing teams have hit .259 against them. Boston has a team average of 9.32 hits per game and are averaging 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.48, they are 28th in the league.

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .278 average at Safeco Field. The Red Sox hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 8th in baseball. With 91 hits, Mookie Betts leads the team while his team ranks 9th in hits per game with 8.85.

Miami has a team fielding percentage of .989 after having committed 33 errors with 849 assists and 2,197 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Red Sox have accumlated 49 errors while having 863 assists and 2,247 put outs leading to a .984 fielding percentage.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 38-41 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 38-45 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 40-41 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 36-48 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/16/15 3B Martin Prado Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/15)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/22)
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/13)
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29) out for season

Boston Red Sox

07/04/15 C Blake Swihart Foot Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/1)
06/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/25)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/28/15 RF Daniel Nava Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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