Friday, August 7, 2015
Turner Field
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez (4-0) vs. Julio Teheran (7-6)
The Miami Marlins take on the Atlanta Braves on Friday at Turner Field. The probable starters are Jose Fernandez for the Marlins and Julio Teheran for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -142 and Atlanta at +132. The over/under was set at 6. The Marlins have a 49-54 over/under record and a 50-58 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Braves have a 53-48 over/under record and a 58-50 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 54% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 43-65 record, including 17-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez holds a 4-0 record with an earned run average of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.03. The Marlins are 5-1 over his 38 innings pitched and he's also given up 30 hits over that time period. Against the over/under, the Marlins are 4-2 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 304 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.44. Opposing teams are hitting .240 against the Marlins bullpen while walking 120 times and striking out 339 times. Miami is averaging 7.35 strikeouts per game while getting 8.5 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 14th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.83.
Miami ranks 17th in the league in team batting average at .251 while hitting .249 on the road. The Marlins on-base percentage sits at .302, which puts them at 28th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .370. Dee Gordon leads the team in hits with 129 while the team ranks 19th in baseball with 8.43 hits per game.
With a 27-22 home record, Atlanta will hope to improve on their 48-60 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.59, Julio Teheran will come into this game holding a 7-6 record and a 1.39 WHIP. The Braves have a record of 12-10 over the 131.1 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 133 hits. Against the over/under, the Braves are 15-6 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 4.6 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 317 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 4.18. Opposing teams are hitting .257 against the Braves bullpen while walking 129 times and striking out 287 times. Atlanta is averaging 7.36 strikeouts per game while getting 9.15 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.10.
They rank 15th in the league in team batting average with a .252 average while hitting .249 at home. The Braves on-base percentage sits at .312, which puts them at 18th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .361. Nick Markakis leads the team in hits with 121 while the team ranks 16th in baseball with 8.53 hits a game.
In terms of team defense, the Marlins have a fielding percentage of .987 with 51 total errors, 1,056 assists and 2,851 put outs. The Braves have committed 60 errors on the season with 1065 assists and 2,863 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .985 on the year.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 49-54 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 50-58 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 53-48 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 58-50 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Miami Marlins
08/04/15 P Carter Capps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/3)
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/22); out for season
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/13)
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29); out for season
Atlanta Braves
08/06/15 SS Andrelton Simmons Thumb is downgraded to doubtful Thursday vs. Miami Marlins
08/05/15 P Jason Frasor Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/2)
08/04/15 1B Freddie Freeman Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/2)
07/29/15 P Manny Banuelos Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/25)
07/11/15 P Jason Grilli Achilles Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/17); out for season
06/04/15 P Daniel Winkler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
06/02/15 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/30)
05/19/15 2B Philip Gosselin Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/18)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks