Thursday, July 30, 2015

Rogers Centre

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Danny Duffy (4-4) vs. Marco Estrada (7-6)

The Toronto Blue Jays welcome the Kansas City Royals to Rogers Centre on Thursday. The Royals send Danny Duffy to the mound to face Marco Estrada of the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Kansas City at +108 and Toronto at -118. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Royals, with a 58-41 run line record, cover the spread 58% of the time. They also have a 41-47 over/under record. The Blue Jays have a 47-46 over/under record and a 51-50 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 51% of the time.

The Royals head into this matchup with a 61-38 record, including 27-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Danny Duffy holds a 4-4 record with an earned run average of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.41. In his starts, the Royals are 9-5 over his 76 innings pitched this season while giving up 78 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 6-8. The team is averaging 4.2 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.19 and they have given up 250 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .203 against the Royals bullpen while walking 109 times and striking out 307 times. Kansas City is averaging 6.89 strikeouts per game while getting 8.21 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 5th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.43.

Kansas City is batting .273 as a team, which is good for 4th in the league and hitting .266 away from home. The Royals hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 8th in baseball. Eric Hosmer leads the team in hits with 114 while the team ranks 4th in baseball with 9.3 hits per game.

With a 28-20 home record, Toronto will hope to improve on their 50-51 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.55, Marco Estrada will come into this game holding a 7-6 record and a 1.18 WHIP. In his starts, the Blue Jays are 7-8 and he has allowed 85 hits over 99 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 8-7. The team is averaging 4.8 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.41 and they have given up 250 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .221 against the Blue Jays bullpen while walking 89 times and striking out 304 times. Toronto is averaging 7.1 strikeouts per game while getting 8.77 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.06.

They are batting .262 as a team, which is good for 5th in the league and hitting .275 at home. The Blue Jays hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 2nd in baseball. Josh Donaldson leads the team in hits with 112 while the team ranks 8th in baseball with 8.83 hits a game.

Kansas City has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 57 errors with 987 assists and 2,646 put outs for the season. The Blue Jays have committed 61 errors on the season with 1009 assists and 2,679 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .984 on the year.

Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals are 41-47 against the over/under so far this season

The Kansas City Royals are 58-41 against the run line so far this season

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 47-46 against the over/under so far this season

The Toronto Blue Jays are 51-50 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Kansas City Royals

07/29/15 CF Lorenzo Cain Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Cleveland Indians
07/29/15 C Salvador Perez Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Cleveland Indians
07/22/15 P Jason Vargas Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/22); out for season
07/09/15 LF Alex Gordon Groin Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/9)
05/17/15 P Brian Flynn Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/16)
04/06/15 P Tim Collins Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/6)

Toronto Blue Jays

07/29/15 2B Devon Travis Shoulder "?" Wednesday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
07/29/15 RF Jose Bautista Leg is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
05/10/15 RF Michael Saunders Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/10)
04/06/15 2B Maicer Izturis Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Marcus Stroman Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)

Tony's Pick: Take the Royals

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