Saturday, October 31, 2015

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Chris Young (12-6) vs. Steven Matz (4-1)

The Kansas City Royals take on the New York Mets on Saturday at Citi Field in Game 4 of the NLCS. The Royals send Chris Young to the mound to face Steven Matz of the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Kansas City at +125 and New York at -135. The over/under was set at 7. The Royals have a 81-80 over/under record and a 97-78 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Mets have a 89-77 over/under record and a 90-82 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 52% of the time.

The Royals show up with a 104-71 record, including 46-40 on the road. Chris Young has an earned run average of 3.00 and is 12-6 so far on the season while having a 1.07 WHIP. He's pitched 135 innings thus far while surrendering 97 hits over that time and when he starts, the Royals are 13-6. The Royals are also 5-11 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4.3 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.72 and they have given up 419 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 502 and walked 191 batters this season while opposing teams hit .211 against them. Kansas City has a team average of 8.42 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.41 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.75, they are 11th in the league.

Kansas City ranks 2nd in the league in team batting average at .268 while hitting .260 on the road. The Royals hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 10th in baseball. With 190 hits, Eric Hosmer leads the team while his team ranks 2nd in hits per game with 9.24.

New York is 52-33 at home while holding a 97-76 overall record on the season. Steven Matz is starting this game 4-1 for the season with an earned run average of 2.58 and a WHIP of 1.28. He's pitched 45.1 innings thus far while surrendering 44 hits over that time in which the Mets are 6-2. The Mets are also 4-4 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 5.4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.48 and they have given up 398 base hits on the year. The Mets bullpen has struck out 446 batters and walked 170 this season while opposing teams have hit .230 against them. New York has a team average of 8.19 hits per game and are averaging 8.27 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.44, they are 4th in the league.

They rank 28th in the league in team batting average with a .243 average while hitting .233 at home. The Mets hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 22nd in baseball. With 161 hits, Curtis Granderson leads the team while his team ranks 27th in hits per game with 8.28.

Kansas City has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 88 errors with 1,611 assists and 4,356 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Mets have accumulated 88 errors while having 1,599 assists and 4,388 put outs leading to a .986 fielding percentage.

Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals are 81-80 against the over/under so far this season

The Kansas City Royals are 97-78 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 89-77 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 90-82 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Kansas City Royals

09/24/15 P Greg Holland Elbow out for season
09/19/15 2B Omar Infante Oblique out indefinitely
07/22/15 P Jason Vargas Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/22); out for season
05/17/15 P Brian Flynn Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/16)
04/06/15 P Tim Collins Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/6)

New York Mets

10/11/15 3B Ruben Tejada Knee out for season
08/05/15 P Rafael Montero Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Royals

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