Monday, October 12, 2015

Minute Maid Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Yordano Ventura (13-9) vs. Lance McCullers (6-7)

The Houston Astros host the Kansas City Royals at Minute Maid Park on Monday in Game 4 of the ALDS. The Royals send Yordano Ventura to the mound to face Lance McCullers of the Astros. The opening line for this matchup has Kansas City at -115 and Houston at +105. The over/under was set at 7. The Royals have a 74-76 over/under record and a 89-75 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Astros are 87-78 against the run line and have a 74-82 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Royals come into this game with a 96-68 record, and they are 44-37 away from home. Yordano Ventura has an earned run average of 4.19 and is 13-9 so far on the season while having a 1.31 WHIP. In his starts, the Royals are 16-13 over his 165.1 innings pitched this season while giving up 158 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Royals are 11-14 in his starts. He is getting 4.9 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 2.72 and they've given up 419 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .211 against the Royals bullpen while walking 191 times and striking out 502 times. Kansas City is averaging 7.24 strikeouts per game while getting 8.52 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 11th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.75.

As a team, Kansas City is batting .268, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .259 average away from home. Ranked at 11th in the league in on-base percentage, the Royals sit at .322 and they hold a .413 team slugging percentage. Eric Hosmer leads the team in hits with 179 while the team ranks 3rd in baseball with 9.23 hits per game.

With a 88-77 overall record, Houston will come into this game 53-28 at home. Lance McCullers is starting this game 6-7 for the season with an earned run average of 3.22 and a WHIP of 1.19. In his starts, the Astros are 8-14 and he has allowed 106 hits over 125.2 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Astros are 8-11 when he starts. He is getting 3.8 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.27 and they have given up 371 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .216 against the Astros bullpen while walking 135 times and striking out 463 times. Houston is averaging 7.98 strikeouts per game while getting 8.15 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.55.

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. Ranked at 15th in the league in on-base percentage, the Astros sit at .315 and they hold a .436 team slugging percentage. Jose Altuve leads the team in hits with 204 while the team ranks 23rd in baseball with 8.41 hits a game.

The Royals have committed 88 errors and have combined for 1,611 assists and 4,356 put outs leading to a .985 team fielding percentage. The Astros have committed 85 errors on the season with 1,617 assists and 4,323 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .986 on the year.

Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals are 74-76 against the over/under so far this season

The Kansas City Royals are 89-75 against the run line so far this season

Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 74-82 against the over/under so far this season

The Houston Astros are 87-78 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Kansas City Royals

09/24/15 P Greg Holland Elbow out for season
09/19/15 2B Omar Infante Oblique out indefinitely
07/22/15 P Jason Vargas Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/22); out for season
05/17/15 P Brian Flynn Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/16)
04/06/15 P Tim Collins Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/6)

Houston Astros

10/11/15 CF Carlos Gomez Oblique is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Kansas City Royals
09/11/15 P Scott Feldman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/14); out for season
05/19/15 P Samuel Deduno Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/14), out for season
04/17/15 P Brad Peacock Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/14); out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros

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