Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Safeco Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Scott Kazmir (7-11) vs. James Paxton (3-4)

The Houston Astros take on the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday at Safeco Field. Scott Kazmir is the probable starter for the Astros and he'll face James Paxton of the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at -141 and Seattle at +131. The over/under was set at 8. The Astros, with a 82-75 run line record, cover the spread 52% of the time. They also have a 70-78 over/under record. The Mariners have a 76-74 over/under record and a 71-86 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 45% of the time.

The Astros head into this matchup with a 83-74 record, including 30-46 on the road. Starting pitcher Scott Kazmir holds a 7-11 record with an earned run average of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.19. In his starts, the Astros are 12-18 over his 178.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 155 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 12-15. He is getting 3.6 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.24 and they have given up 351 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 446 and walked 131 batters this season while opposing teams hit .213 against them. Houston has a team average of 8.1 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.97 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.56, they are 6th in the league.

As a team, Houston is batting .247, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Astros hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 20th in baseball. With 192 hits, Jose Altuve leads the team while his team ranks 27th in hits per game with 8.28.

With a 34-42 home record, Seattle will hope to improve on their 74-83 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.90, James Paxton will come into this game holding a 3-4 record and a 1.43 WHIP. In his starts, the Mariners are 5-6 and he has allowed 67 hits over 67 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 6-5. He is getting 3.9 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 490 base hits on the year. The Mariners bullpen has struck out 455 batters and walked 202 this season while opposing teams have hit .255 against them. Seattle has a team average of 8.77 hits per game and are averaging 7.87 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.16, they are 22nd in the league.

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Mariners hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 22nd in baseball. With 174 hits, Nelson Cruz leads the team while his team ranks 20th in hits per game with 8.5.

Houston has a team fielding percentage of .987 after having committed 76 errors with 1,571 assists and 4,194 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Mariners have accumulated 90 errors while having 1,634 assists and 4,242 put outs leading to a .985 fielding percentage.

Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 70-78 against the over/under so far this season

The Houston Astros are 82-75 against the run line so far this season

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 76-74 against the over/under so far this season

The Seattle Mariners are 71-86 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Houston Astros

09/28/15 CF Carlos Gomez Side "?" Tuesday vs. Seattle Mariners
09/11/15 P Scott Feldman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/14); out for season
05/19/15 P Samuel Deduno Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/14), out for season
04/17/15 P Brad Peacock Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/14); out for season

Seattle Mariners

09/29/15 P James Paxton Finger expected to miss next scheduled start Wednesday vs. Houston Astros
07/09/15 P Charlie Furbush Bicep Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/9)

Guy's Pick: Take the Astros

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