Saturday, July 4, 2015

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Collin McHugh (9-3) vs. Clay Buchholz (6-6)

The Boston Red Sox welcome the Houston Astros to Fenway Park on Saturday. The Astros send Collin McHugh to the mound to face Clay Buchholz of the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Houston at +123 and Boston at -133. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Astros have a 38-39 over/under record and a 48-33 run line mark, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Red Sox are 35-46 against the run line and have a 38-40 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.

The Astros head into this matchup with a 47-34 record, including 19-18 on the road. Collin McHugh has a 9-3 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.51 and a 1.27 WHIP. In his starts, the Astros are 11-5 over his 101.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 105 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 10-5. He is getting 5.5 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.57 and they have given up 165 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .191 against the Astros bullpen while walking 67 times and striking out 242 times. Houston is averaging 7.75 strikeouts per game while getting 7.85 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 8th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.52.

As a team, Houston is batting .241, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .247 average away from home. The Astros hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 20th in baseball. Jose Altuve leads the team in hits with 87 while the team ranks 26th in baseball with 8.04 hits per game.

With a 17-20 home record, Boston will hope to improve on their 37-44 overall mark. Clay Buchholz has a record of 6-6 while sporting an earned run average of 3.48 on the year with a 1.24 WHIP. In his starts, the Red Sox are 7-9 and he has allowed 102 hits over 101 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 4-9. He is getting 3.6 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have given up 258 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .258 against the Red Sox bullpen while walking 89 times and striking out 214 times. Boston is averaging 7.3 strikeouts per game while getting 9.29 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.47.

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .276 average at Safeco Field. The Red Sox hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 11th in baseball. Dustin Pedroia leads the team in hits with 86 while the team ranks 11th in baseball with 8.78 hits a game.

Houston has a team fielding percentage of .987 after having committed 40 errors with 875 assists and 2,184 put outs for the season. The Red Sox have committed 47 errors on the season with 843 assists and 2,163 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .985 on the year.

Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 38-39 against the over/under so far this season

The Houston Astros are 48-33 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 38-40 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 35-46 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Houston Astros

07/02/15 RF George Springer Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list ((7/1)
07/01/15 CF Colby Rasmus Wrist out indefinitely
06/26/15 P Chad Qualls Neck Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/25)
06/22/15 CF Jake Marisnick Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/19)
05/29/15 P Scott Feldman Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/27)
05/19/15 P Samuel Deduno Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/14)
04/28/15 SS Jed Lowrie Thumb Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/28)
04/17/15 P Brad Peacock Side Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/14)

Boston Red Sox

06/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/25)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/28/15 RF Daniel Nava Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/24/15 RF Shane Victorino Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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