Thursday, July 9, 2015

Target Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: David Price (8-2) vs. Mike Pelfrey (5-5)

The Detroit Tigers head to Target Field on Thursday to take on the Minnesota Twins. The Tigers send David Price to the mound to face Mike Pelfrey of the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at -135 and Minnesota at +125. The over/under was set at 8. The Tigers, with a 40-43 run line record, cover the spread 48% of the time. They also have a 47-34 over/under record. The Twins are 54-31 against the run line and have a 38-40 over/under record. They cover the spread 64% of the time.

The Tigers show up with a 42-41 record, including 20-18 on the road. David Price has an earned run average of 2.54 and is 8-2 so far on the season while having a 1.13 WHIP. He's pitched 117 innings thus far while surrendering 110 hits over that time and when he starts, the Tigers are 14-3. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 10-7. The team is averaging 4.7 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 254 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.86. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen while being struck out 193 times and walking 89 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.12 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.89 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25.

Detroit is batting .280 as a team, which is good for 1st in the league and hitting .268 away from home. The Tigers on-base percentage sits at .338, which puts them at 1st in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .432. They rank 1st in baseball with 9.8 hits per game and Miguel Cabrera leads the team with 97.

Minnesota is 28-15 at home while holding a 46-39 overall record on the season. Mike Pelfrey is starting this game 5-5 for the season with an earned run average of 3.94 and a WHIP of 1.49. He's pitched 91.1 innings thus far while surrendering 104 hits over that time in which the Twins are 10-6. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 6-8. The team is averaging 4.2 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has given up 249 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.85. Teams are hitting .254 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 169 times and walking 78 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.39 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.07 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.82.

They are batting .251 as a team, which is good for 17th in the league and hitting .275 at home. The Twins on-base percentage sits at .303, which puts them at 24th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .393. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.36 hits per game and Brian Dozier leads the team with 84.

In terms of team defense, the Tigers have a fielding percentage of .987 with 41 total errors, 824 assists and 2,247 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .985 team fielding percentage while committing 46 errors, accumulating 874 assists and compiling 2,234 put outs.

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 47-34 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 40-43 against the run line so far this season

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 38-40 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 54-31 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Detroit Tigers

07/04/15 1B Miguel Cabrera Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/3)
05/24/15 P Kyle Lobstein Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/08/15 P Joe Nathan Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/7), out for season

Minnesota Twins

06/26/15 CF Byron Buxton Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/25)
06/04/15 P Ricky Nolasco Ankle Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/1)
05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn