Saturday, July 11, 2015

Target Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Alfredo Simon (8-5) vs. Phil Hughes (7-6)

The Detroit Tigers head to Target Field on Saturday to take on the Minnesota Twins. Alfredo Simon is the probable starter for the Tigers and he'll face Phil Hughes of the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +155 and Minnesota at -165. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Tigers have a 48-35 over/under record and a 42-43 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Twins are 54-32 against the run line and have a 38-41 over/under record. They cover the spread 63% of the time.

The Tigers come into this game with a 44-41 record, and they are 22-18 away from home. Alfredo Simon has a 8-5 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.18 and a 1.39 WHIP. In his starts, the Tigers are 9-7 over his 97 innings pitched this season while giving up 102 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Tigers are 9-6 in his starts. The team is averaging 4.6 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.80 and they have given up 256 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 197 and walked 91 batters this season while opposing teams hit .262 against them. Detroit has a team average of 9.05 hits allowed per game and are averaging 6.93 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.19, they are 24th in the league.

Detroit is batting .281 as a team, which is good for 1st in the league and hitting .270 away from home. The Tigers hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 1st in baseball. With 97 hits, Miguel Cabrera leads the team while his team ranks 1st in hits per game with 9.8.

With a 46-40 overall record, Minnesota will come into this game 28-16 at home. Phil Hughes has a record of 7-6 while sporting an earned run average of 4.19 on the year with a 1.24 WHIP. In his starts, the Twins are 9-8 and he has allowed 127 hits over 111.2 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Twins are 8-8 when he starts. The team is averaging 4.1 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 250 base hits on the year. The Twins bullpen has struck out 169 batters and walked 78 this season while opposing teams have hit .254 against them. Minnesota has a team average of 9.36 hits per game and are averaging 6.04 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.81, they are 14th in the league.

They are batting .251 as a team, which is good for 17th in the league and hitting .274 at home. The Twins hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 23rd in baseball. With 86 hits, Joe Mauer leads the team while his team ranks 20th in hits per game with 8.36.

Detroit has a team fielding percentage of .986 after having committed 44 errors with 840 assists and 2,301 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Twins have accumlated 46 errors while having 897 assists and 2,288 put outs leading to a .986 fielding percentage.

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 48-35 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 42-43 against the run line so far this season

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 38-41 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 54-32 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Detroit Tigers

07/04/15 1B Miguel Cabrera Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/3)
05/24/15 P Kyle Lobstein Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/08/15 P Joe Nathan Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/7), out for season

Minnesota Twins

06/26/15 CF Byron Buxton Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/25)
06/04/15 P Ricky Nolasco Ankle Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/1)
05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn