Thursday, July 30, 2015

Oriole Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Alfredo Simon (9-6) vs. Miguel Gonzalez (9-6)

The Baltimore Orioles welcome the Detroit Tigers to Oriole Park on Thursday. The probable starters are Alfredo Simon for the Tigers and Miguel Gonzalez for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +131 and Baltimore at -141. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Tigers have a 56-41 over/under record and a 46-54 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Orioles have a 40-53 over/under record and a 54-45 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 55% of the time.

The Tigers head into this matchup with a 48-52 record, including 23-25 on the road. Alfredo Simon has an earned run average of 4.46 and is 9-6 so far on the season while having a 1.46 WHIP. The Tigers are 11-8 over his 111 innings pitched and he's also given up 123 hits over that time period. The Tigers are also 10-8 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4.6 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 4.23 and they've given up 317 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .270 against the Tigers bullpen while walking 111 times and striking out 247 times. Detroit is averaging 7.01 strikeouts per game while getting 9.39 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 26th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.45.

Detroit ranks 1st in the league in team batting average at .275 while hitting .262 on the road. Ranked at 1st in the league in on-base percentage, the Tigers sit at .333 and they hold a .429 team slugging percentage. Yoenis Cespedes leads the team in hits with 114 while the team ranks 1st in baseball with 9.59 hits per game.

With a 31-19 home record, Baltimore will hope to improve on their 50-49 overall mark. Miguel Gonzalez is starting this game 9-6 for the season with an earned run average of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.23. The Orioles have a record of 11-7 over the 106 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 98 hits. The Orioles are also 9-9 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 4.8 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 2.83 and they have given up 252 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .224 against the Orioles bullpen while walking 110 times and striking out 300 times. Baltimore is averaging 7.69 strikeouts per game while getting 8.42 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.70.

They rank 13th in the league in team batting average with a .253 average while hitting .267 at home. Ranked at 21st in the league in on-base percentage, the Orioles sit at .308 and they hold a .418 team slugging percentage. Manny Machado leads the team in hits with 110 while the team ranks 17th in baseball with 8.47 hits a game.

The Tigers have committed 50 errors and have combined for 993 assists and 2,702 put outs leading to a .987 team fielding percentage. The Orioles have committed 39 errors on the season with 924 assists and 2,605 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .989 on the year.

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 56-41 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 46-54 against the run line so far this season

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 40-53 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 54-45 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Detroit Tigers

07/04/15 1B Miguel Cabrera Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/3)
05/24/15 P Kyle Lobstein Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/08/15 P Joe Nathan Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/7), out for season

Baltimore Orioles

07/22/15 LF Steve Pearce Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/19)
05/13/15 P Jason Garcia Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/11)

Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles

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