Monday, September 21, 2015

Busch Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: John Lamb (1-3) vs. Jaime Garcia (9-5)

The Cincinnati Reds head to Busch Stadium on Monday to take on the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are John Lamb for the Reds and Jaime Garcia for the Cardinals. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +183 and St. Louis at -194. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Reds have a 74-67 over/under record and a 77-69 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Cardinals are 74-74 against the run line and have a 61-77 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Reds head into this matchup with a 63-84 record, including 29-44 on the road. Starting pitcher John Lamb holds a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 5.35 and a WHIP of 1.57. In his starts, the Reds are 2-5 over his 37 innings pitched this season while giving up 45 hits during those innings. The Reds are also 5-2 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 5 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 451 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.81. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen while being struck out 439 times and walking 208 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.58 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.20.

As a team, Cincinnati is batting .250, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .244 average away from home. The Reds on-base percentage sits at .317, which puts them at 15th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .401. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.6 hits per game and Brandon Phillips leads the team with 158.

With a 50-24 home record, St. Louis will hope to improve on their 92-56 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.52, Jaime Garcia will come into this game holding a 9-5 record and a 1.03 WHIP. In his starts, the Cardinals are 11-6 and he has allowed 88 hits over 110.2 innings pitched this season. The Cardinals are also 6-10 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 3.2 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 400 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 2.67. Teams are hitting .237 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 416 times and walking 166 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.35 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.13 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.92.

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Cardinals on-base percentage sits at .321, which puts them at 12th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .392. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.61 hits per game and Jason Heyward leads the team with 148.

In terms of team defense, the Reds have a fielding percentage of .986 with 78 total errors, 1,505 assists and 3,966 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .984 team fielding percentage while committing 89 errors, accumulating 1,476 assists and compiling 4,028 put outs.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 74-67 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 77-69 against the run line so far this season

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The St. Louis Cardinals are 61-77 against the over/under so far this season

The St. Louis Cardinals are 74-74 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

09/12/15 2B Kristopher Negron Shoulder out for season
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

St. Louis Cardinals

09/20/15 LF Matt Holliday Head "?" Monday vs. Cincinnati Reds
09/12/15 C Cody Stanley Suspension expected to miss 80 games
05/03/15 P Jordan Walden Bicep Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/30)
04/28/15 P Adam Wainwright Achilles Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/25); out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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