Wednesday, September 16, 2015

AT&T Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Michael Lorenzen (4-8) vs. Jake Peavy (6-6)

The Cincinnati Reds visit AT&T Park on Wednesday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Michael Lorenzen for the Reds and Jake Peavy for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +152 and San Francisco at -162. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Reds have a 71-66 over/under record and a 74-68 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Giants are 83-61 against the run line and have a 69-65 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.

The Reds show up with a 60-83 record, including 26-43 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Lorenzen holds a 4-8 record with an earned run average of 5.45 and a WHIP of 1.68. He's pitched 105.2 innings thus far while surrendering 121 hits over that time and when he starts, the Reds are 9-11. Against the over/under, the Reds are 10-9 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 423 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.78. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen while being struck out 412 times and walking 192 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.64 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.55 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.17.

Cincinnati ranks 22nd in the league in team batting average at .249 while hitting .242 on the road. The Reds on-base percentage sits at .315, which puts them at 16th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .398. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.55 hits per game and Joey Votto leads the team with 152.

San Francisco is 42-27 at home while holding a 76-68 overall record on the season. With an earned run average of 4.15, Jake Peavy will come into this game holding a 6-6 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He's pitched 86.2 innings thus far while surrendering 81 hits over that time in which the Giants are 8-7. Against the over/under, the Giants are 8-7 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 4.8 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 375 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.05. Teams are hitting .227 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 371 times and walking 121 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 8.39 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.28 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.67.

They rank 3rd in the league in team batting average with a .269 average while hitting .272 at home. The Giants on-base percentage sits at .327, which puts them at 4th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .407. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.26 hits per game and Buster Posey leads the team with 162.

In terms of team defense, the Reds have a fielding percentage of .986 with 75 total errors, 1,454 assists and 3,858 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .988 team fielding percentage while committing 66 errors, accumulating 1,494 assists and compiling 3,841 put outs.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 71-66 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 74-68 against the run line so far this season

San Francisco Giants Betting Trends

The San Francisco Giants are 69-65 against the over/under so far this season

The San Francisco Giants are 83-61 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

09/14/15 CF Billy Hamilton Shoulder injured last game, "?" Tuesday vs. San Francisco Giants
09/12/15 2B Kristopher Negron Shoulder out for season
09/11/15 C Brayan Pena Hamstring out indefinitely
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

San Francisco Giants

09/11/15 LF Gregor Blanco Concussion out indefinitely
09/10/15 2B Joe Panik Back out indefinitely
09/09/15 SS Brandon Crawford Calf out indefinitely
09/09/15 C Hector Sanchez Ankle Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/8)
09/07/15 C Andrew Susac Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/6)
09/06/15 RF Norichika Aoki Head out indefinitely
08/20/15 RF Hunter Pence Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/18)
07/01/15 P Tim Lincecum Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/28), out for season
06/18/15 2B Marco Scutaro Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/17); out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds

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