Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Petco Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Michael Lorenzen (3-7) vs. Colin Rea (0-0)

The Cincinnati Reds visit Petco Park on Tuesday to play the San Diego Padres. Michael Lorenzen is the probable starter for the Reds and he'll face Colin Rea of the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +110 and San Diego at -120. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Reds, with a 57-52 run line record, cover the spread 52% of the time. They also have a 50-54 over/under record. The Padres have a 62-47 over/under record and a 56-57 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 50% of the time.

The Reds head into this matchup with a 49-61 record, including 21-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Lorenzen holds a 3-7 record with an earned run average of 4.84 and a WHIP of 1.58. He's pitched 89.1 innings thus far while surrendering 90 hits over that time and when he starts, the Reds are 6-10. Against the over/under, the Reds are 7-8 in his starts. The team is averaging 3.8 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 310 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.99. The bullpen has struck out 308 and walked 145 batters this season while opposing teams hit .234 against them. Cincinnati has a team average of 8.34 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.34 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.00, they are 20th in the league.

Cincinnati is batting .249 as a team, which is good for 22nd in the league and hitting .236 away from home. The Reds on-base percentage sits at .314, which puts them at 16th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .396. With 115 hits, Joey Votto leads the team while his team ranks 15th in hits per game with 8.55.

With a 25-28 home record, San Diego will hope to improve on their 53-60 overall mark. Colin Rea is making his major league debut for the Padres. The bullpen has given up 302 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.83. The Padres bullpen has struck out 322 batters and walked 117 this season while opposing teams have hit .232 against them. San Diego has a team average of 8.48 hits per game and are averaging 8.25 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.96, they are 18th in the league.

They are batting .239 as a team, which is good for 29th in the league and hitting .234 at home. The Padres on-base percentage sits at .295, which puts them at 30th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .372. With 109 hits, Matt Kemp leads the team while his team ranks 27th in hits per game with 8.12.

In terms of team defense, the Reds have a fielding percentage of .987 with 55 total errors, 1,134 assists and 2,979 put outs. Over the course of this season, the Padres have accumlated 62 errors while having 1112 assists and 3,037 put outs leading to a .985 fielding percentage.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 50-54 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 57-52 against the run line so far this season

San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 62-47 against the over/under so far this season

The San Diego Padres are 56-57 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

San Diego Padres

06/30/15 2B Cory Spangenberg Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/28)
06/16/15 CF Wil Myers Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
05/06/15 P Brandon Morrow Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/3)
04/06/15 P Cory Luebke Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/4)
04/06/15 P Josh Johnson Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/4)
04/04/15 C Tim Federowicz Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/26)

Guy's Pick: Take the Padres

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