Sunday, June 28, 2015

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Joshua Smith (0-0) vs. Steven Matz (0-0)

The Cincinnati Reds head to Citi Field on Sunday to take on the New York Mets. The probable starters are Joshua Smith for the Reds and Steven Matz for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +130 and New York at -140. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Reds, with a 38-34 run line record, cover the spread 53% of the time. They also have a 36-32 over/under record. The Mets have a 35-35 over/under record and a 34-41 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 45% of the time.

The Reds come into this game with a 34-38 record, and they are 14-24 away from home. Joshua Smith has a 0-0 record on the season, an earned run average of 12.00 and a 3.00 WHIP. He's pitched 3 innings thus far while surrendering 3 hits over that time and when he starts, the Reds are 0-1. Against the over/under, the Reds are 1-0 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 6 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.79 and they've given up 186 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen while being struck out 200 times and walking 92 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.24 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89.

Cincinnati ranks 19th in the league in team batting average at .248 while hitting .242 on the road. Ranked at 18th in the league in on-base percentage, the Reds sit at .314 and they hold a .406 team slugging percentage. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.49 hits per game and Todd Frazier leads the team with 83.

With a 38-37 overall record, New York will come into this game 27-11 at home. Steven Matz is making his season debut for New York, so it's tough to figure out what to expect from him. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 2.96 and they have given up 153 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .214 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 183 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.04 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.52.

They rank 29th in the league in team batting average with a .235 average while hitting .244 at home. Ranked at 25th in the league in on-base percentage, the Mets sit at .299 and they hold a .364 team slugging percentage. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.71 hits per game and Juan Lagares leads the team with 71.

The Reds have committed 36 errors and have combined for 756 assists and 1,938 put outs leading to a .987 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .983 team fielding percentage while committing 47 errors, accumulating 742 assists and compiling 1,978 put outs.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 36-32 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 38-34 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 35-35 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 34-41 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/16)
06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
06/05/15 P Rasiel Iglesias Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/05)
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 CF Jason Bourgeois Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

New York Mets

06/23/15 C Travis d'Arnaud Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/05/15 2B Daniel Murphy Quad Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/4)
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/12)
04/16/15 3B David Wright Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/15)
04/08/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets

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