Saturday, June 27, 2015

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Michael Lorenzen (3-2) vs. Matt Harvey (7-5)

The New York Mets welcome the Cincinnati Reds to Citi Field on Saturday. Michael Lorenzen is the probable starter for the Reds and he'll face Matt Harvey of the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +161 and New York at -171. The over/under was set at 7. The Reds have a 36-31 over/under record and a 38-33 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Mets have a 35-34 over/under record and a 33-41 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 45% of the time.

The Reds head into this matchup with a 34-37 record, including 14-23 on the road. Michael Lorenzen has an earned run average of 3.56 and is 3-2 so far on the season while having a 1.42 WHIP. He's pitched 55.2 innings thus far while surrendering 50 hits over that time and when he starts, the Reds are 5-4. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 5-4. His teammates are averaging 4.8 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 186 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen while being struck out 198 times and walking 92 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.29 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.22 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91.

Cincinnati ranks 19th in the league in team batting average at .249 while hitting .244 on the road. The Reds hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.54 hits per game and Todd Frazier leads the team with 79.

With a 26-11 home record, New York will hope to improve on their 37-37 overall mark. Matt Harvey is starting this game 7-5 for the season with an earned run average of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.01. He's pitched 93.1 innings thus far while surrendering 79 hits over that time in which the Mets are 8-6. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 7-7. His teammates score an average of 3.9 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.98 and they have given up 153 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 183 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.54 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.08 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.56.

They rank 29th in the league in team batting average with a .237 average while hitting .247 at home. The Mets hold a .365 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.78 hits per game and Juan Lagares leads the team with 71.

Cincinnati has a team fielding percentage of .987 after having committed 35 errors with 746 assists and 1,914 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .983 team fielding percentage while committing 47 errors, accumulating 731 assists and compiling 1,951 put outs.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 36-31 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 38-33 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 35-34 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 33-41 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/16)
06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
06/05/15 P Rasiel Iglesias Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/05)
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 CF Jason Bourgeois Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

New York Mets

06/23/15 C Travis d'Arnaud Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/05/15 2B Daniel Murphy Quad Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/4)
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/12)
04/16/15 3B David Wright Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/15)
04/08/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets

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