Sunday, September 20, 2015

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani (9-10) vs. Ariel Pena (1-0)

The Milwaukee Brewers welcome the Cincinnati Reds to Miller Park on Sunday. Anthony DeSclafani is the probable starter for the Reds and he'll face Ariel Pena of the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at -120 and Milwaukee at +110. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Reds have a 73-67 over/under record and a 76-69 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Brewers are 68-79 against the run line and have a 76-62 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.

The Reds come into this game with a 62-84 record, and they are 28-44 away from home. Anthony DeSclafani has a 9-10 record on the season, an earned run average of 3.67 and a 1.31 WHIP. In his starts, the Reds are 13-15 over his 169 innings pitched this season while giving up 169 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Reds are 8-17 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 3.7 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 440 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.79. The bullpen has struck out 429 and walked 201 batters this season while opposing teams hit .236 against them. Cincinnati has a team average of 8.68 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.57 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.18, they are 23rd in the league.

Cincinnati ranks 22nd in the league in team batting average at .249 while hitting .243 on the road. The Reds on-base percentage sits at .316, which puts them at 15th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .399. With 155 hits, Brandon Phillips leads the team while his team ranks 17th in hits per game with 8.57.

With a 62-85 overall record, Milwaukee will come into this game 33-43 at home. Ariel Pena has a record of 1-0 while sporting an earned run average of 3.46 on the year with a 1.31 WHIP. In his starts, the Brewers are 0-2 and he has allowed 9 hits over 13 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Brewers are 0-2 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 1.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 422 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.51. The Brewers bullpen has struck out 484 batters and walked 163 this season while opposing teams have hit .235 against them. Milwaukee has a team average of 8.99 hits per game and are averaging 7.86 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.30, they are 25th in the league.

They rank 13th in the league in team batting average with a .254 average while hitting .252 at home. The Brewers on-base percentage sits at .310, which puts them at 22nd in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .400. With 145 hits, Gerardo Parra leads the team while his team ranks 16th in hits per game with 8.61.

In terms of team defense, the Reds have a fielding percentage of .986 with 78 total errors, 1,494 assists and 3,939 put outs. Over the course of this season, the Brewers have accumulated 107 errors while having 1,520 assists and 3,915 put outs leading to a .981 fielding percentage.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 73-67 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 76-69 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 76-62 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 68-79 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

09/19/15 CF Billy Hamilton Shoulder is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
09/18/15 1B Joey Votto Suspension Served probable Saturday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
09/12/15 2B Kristopher Negron Shoulder out for season
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Milwaukee Brewers

09/17/15 P Jimmy Nelson Head out indefinitely
09/17/15 P Matt Garza Personal out for season
09/10/15 C Jonathan Lucroy Concussion out indefinitely
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/13)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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