Saturday, September 19, 2015

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Joshua Smith (0-2) vs. Taylor Jungmann (9-6)

The Cincinnati Reds head to Miller Park on Saturday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. Joshua Smith is the probable starter for the Reds and he'll face Taylor Jungmann of the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +150 and Milwaukee at -160. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Reds have a 73-66 over/under record and a 75-69 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Brewers are 68-78 against the run line and have a 76-61 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.

The Reds head into this matchup with a 61-84 record, including 27-44 on the road. Starting pitcher Joshua Smith holds a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.98. He's pitched 14.2 innings thus far while surrendering 16 hits over that time and when he starts, the Reds are 0-3. Against the over/under, the Reds are 3-0 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 3.7 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.78 and they've given up 436 hits on the season. The bullpen has struck out 423 and walked 198 batters this season while opposing teams hit .236 against them. Cincinnati has a team average of 8.7 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.55 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.19, they are 23rd in the league.

Cincinnati ranks 22nd in the league in team batting average at .249 while hitting .243 on the road. Ranked at 15th in the league in on-base percentage, the Reds sit at .316 and they hold a .398 team slugging percentage. With 155 hits, Brandon Phillips leads the team while his team ranks 17th in hits per game with 8.57.

With a 33-42 home record, Milwaukee will hope to improve on their 62-84 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.05, Taylor Jungmann will come into this game holding a 9-6 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He's pitched 106.1 innings thus far while surrendering 88 hits over that time in which the Brewers are 10-8. Against the over/under, the Brewers are 7-9 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 4.2 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.49 and they have given up 418 hits on the season. The Brewers bullpen has struck out 479 batters and walked 159 this season while opposing teams have hit .234 against them. Milwaukee has a team average of 8.99 hits per game and are averaging 7.85 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.29, they are 25th in the league.

They rank 12th in the league in team batting average with a .254 average while hitting .252 at home. Ranked at 23rd in the league in on-base percentage, the Brewers sit at .310 and they hold a .399 team slugging percentage. With 145 hits, Gerardo Parra leads the team while his team ranks 16th in hits per game with 8.62.

The Reds have committed 77 errors and have combined for 1,482 assists and 3,912 put outs leading to a .986 team fielding percentage. Over the course of this season, the Brewers have accumulated 107 errors while having 1,509 assists and 3,888 put outs leading to a .981 fielding percentage.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 73-66 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 75-69 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 76-61 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 68-78 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

09/18/15 CF Billy Hamilton Shoulder is downgraded to expected to miss Friday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
09/18/15 1B Joey Votto Suspension is not expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
09/12/15 2B Kristopher Negron Shoulder out for season
09/11/15 C Brayan Pena Hamstring out indefinitely
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Milwaukee Brewers

09/17/15 P Jimmy Nelson Head out indefinitely
09/17/15 P Matt Garza Personal out for season
09/10/15 C Jonathan Lucroy Concussion out indefinitely
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/13)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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