Friday, September 18, 2015

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan (0-0) vs. Zach Davies (1-1)

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Cincinnati Reds at Miller Park on Friday. Brandon Finnegan is the probable starter for the Reds and he'll face Zach Davies of the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +111 and Milwaukee at -121. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Reds, with a 75-69 run line record, cover the spread 52% of the time. They also have a 73-66 over/under record. The Brewers are 68-77 against the run line and have a 75-61 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.

The Reds head into this matchup with a 61-84 record, including 27-44 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan is making his debut so he has no stats this year at this point. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 436 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .236 against the Reds bullpen while walking 198 times and striking out 423 times. Cincinnati is averaging 7.55 strikeouts per game while getting 8.7 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 23rd in baseball in team earned run average at 4.19.

Cincinnati ranks 23rd in the league in team batting average at .249 while hitting .243 on the road. The Reds hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 15th in baseball. Brandon Phillips leads the team in hits with 153 while the team ranks 17th in baseball with 8.57 hits per game.

With a 33-41 home record, Milwaukee will hope to improve on their 62-83 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.60, Zach Davies will come into this game holding a 1-1 record and a 1.47 WHIP. In his starts, the Brewers are 2-1 and he has allowed 14 hits over 15 innings pitched this season. The Brewers are also 3-0 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 6.7 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 410 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .233 against the Brewers bullpen while walking 159 times and striking out 469 times. Milwaukee is averaging 7.83 strikeouts per game while getting 8.96 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29.

They rank 13th in the league in team batting average with a .254 average while hitting .252 at home. The Brewers hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 23rd in baseball. Ryan Braun leads the team in hits with 144 while the team ranks 15th in baseball with 8.63 hits a game.

Cincinnati has a team fielding percentage of .986 after having committed 77 errors with 1,482 assists and 3,912 put outs for the season. The Brewers have committed 104 errors on the season with 1,497 assists and 3,861 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .981 on the year.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 73-66 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 75-69 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 75-61 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 68-77 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

09/16/15 CF Billy Hamilton Shoulder "?" Friday vs Arizona
09/12/15 2B Kristopher Negron Shoulder out for season
09/11/15 C Brayan Pena Hamstring out indefinitely
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Milwaukee Brewers

09/16/15 RF Ryan Braun Back "?" Thursday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
09/10/15 C Jonathan Lucroy Concussion out indefinitely
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/13)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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