Saturday, July 11, 2015

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani (5-6) vs. Mat Latos (3-6)

The Cincinnati Reds take on the Miami Marlins on Saturday at Marlins Park. The probable starters are Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds and Mat Latos for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +105 and Miami at -115. The over/under was set at 7. The Reds, with a 42-40 run line record, cover the spread 51% of the time. They also have a 41-38 over/under record. The Marlins are 40-46 against the run line and have a 38-43 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.

The Reds come into this game with a 38-45 record, and they are 16-27 away from home. Anthony DeSclafani has an earned run average of 3.65 and is 5-6 so far on the season while having a 1.37 WHIP. The Reds are 9-8 over his 101 innings pitched and he's also given up 97 hits over that time period. The Reds are also 6-9 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 221 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.96. The bullpen has struck out 222 and walked 112 batters this season while opposing teams hit .230 against them. Cincinnati has a team average of 8.31 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.24 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.98, they are 21st in the league.

Cincinnati ranks 20th in the league in team batting average at .249 while hitting .241 on the road. The Reds on-base percentage sits at .313, which puts them at 17th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .402. With 93 hits, Todd Frazier leads the team while his team ranks 15th in hits per game with 8.53.

With a 36-50 overall record, Miami will come into this game 22-22 at home. Mat Latos is starting this game 3-6 for the season with an earned run average of 4.90 and a WHIP of 1.31. The Marlins have a record of 5-9 over the 75.1 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 75 hits. The Marlins are also 8-6 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 3.2 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 248 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.45. The Marlins bullpen has struck out 266 batters and walked 96 this season while opposing teams have hit .243 against them. Miami has a team average of 8.57 hits per game and are averaging 7.17 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.86, they are 16th in the league.

They rank 16th in the league in team batting average with a .252 average while hitting .256 at home. The Marlins on-base percentage sits at .304, which puts them at 24th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .376. With 119 hits, Dee Gordon leads the team while his team ranks 16th in hits per game with 8.51.

In terms of team defense, the Reds have a fielding percentage of .985 with 46 total errors, 876 assists and 2,238 put outs. Over the course of this season, the Marlins have accumlated 38 errors while having 874 assists and 2,272 put outs leading to a .988 fielding percentage.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 41-38 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 42-40 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 38-43 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 40-46 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
06/05/15 P Rasiel Iglesias Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/05)
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Miami Marlins

07/10/15 CF Marcell Ozuna Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Cincinnati Reds
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/16/15 3B Martin Prado Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/15)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/22)
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/13)
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29) out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins

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