Friday, July 10, 2015

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Mike Leake (5-5) vs. David Phelps (4-4)

The Cincinnati Reds visit Marlins Park on Friday to play the Miami Marlins. The Reds send Mike Leake to the mound to face David Phelps of the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at -110 and Miami at -110. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Reds, with a 42-39 run line record, cover the spread 52% of the time. They also have a 41-37 over/under record. The Marlins have a 38-42 over/under record and a 39-46 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 46% of the time.

The Reds show up with a 38-44 record, including 16-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Leake holds a 5-5 record with an earned run average of 4.39 and a WHIP of 1.29. In his starts, the Reds are 7-10 over his 106.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 108 hits during those innings. The Reds are also 10-7 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 221 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 4.00. Opposing teams are hitting .231 against the Reds bullpen while walking 111 times and striking out 221 times. Cincinnati is averaging 7.24 strikeouts per game while getting 8.34 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 20th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.00.

Cincinnati is batting .249 as a team, which is good for 20th in the league and hitting .241 away from home. The Reds on-base percentage sits at .314, which puts them at 17th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .403. Todd Frazier leads the team in hits with 92 while the team ranks 15th in baseball with 8.55 hits per game.

Miami is 21-22 at home while holding a 35-50 overall record on the season. With an earned run average of 4.03, David Phelps will come into this game holding a 4-4 record and a 1.26 WHIP. In his starts, the Marlins are 5-8 and he has allowed 82 hits over 82.2 innings pitched this season. The Marlins are also 6-7 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.5 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has given up 247 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.48. Opposing teams are hitting .244 against the Marlins bullpen while walking 96 times and striking out 264 times. Miami is averaging 7.12 strikeouts per game while getting 8.59 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 17th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91.

They are batting .253 as a team, which is good for 16th in the league and hitting .257 at home. The Marlins on-base percentage sits at .304, which puts them at 24th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .377. Dee Gordon leads the team in hits with 117 while the team ranks 13th in baseball with 8.55 hits a game.

In terms of team defense, the Reds have a fielding percentage of .985 with 46 total errors, 861 assists and 2,214 put outs. The Marlins have committed 38 errors on the season with 868 assists and 2,245 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .988 on the year.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 41-37 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 42-39 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 38-42 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 39-46 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
06/05/15 P Rasiel Iglesias Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/05)
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Miami Marlins

07/09/15 2B Jeff Baker Oblique is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Cincinnati Reds
07/09/15 CF Marcell Ozuna Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Cincinnati Reds
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/16/15 3B Martin Prado Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/15)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/22)
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/13)
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29) out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins

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