Thursday, July 2, 2015

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta (7-5) vs. Jacob deGrom (8-5)

The Chicago Cubs take on the New York Mets on Thursday at Citi Field. The Cubs send Jake Arrieta to the mound to face Jacob deGrom of the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at +111 and New York at -121. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Cubs have a 29-40 over/under record and a 32-43 run line mark, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Mets are 35-42 against the run line and have a 36-37 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.

The Cubs come into this game with a 40-35 record, and they are 20-20 away from home. Jake Arrieta has a 7-5 record on the season, an earned run average of 2.94 and a 1.06 WHIP. In his starts, the Cubs are 8-7 over his 98 innings pitched this season while giving up 81 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 3-8. He is getting 3.9 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.02 and they've given up 198 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .223 against the Cubs bullpen while walking 93 times and striking out 221 times. Chicago is averaging 8.62 strikeouts per game while getting 8.09 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 6th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.48.

As a team, Chicago is batting .243, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .249 average away from home. Ranked at 15th in the league in on-base percentage, the Cubs sit at .318 and they hold a .384 team slugging percentage. Anthony Rizzo leads the team in hits with 83 while the team ranks 21st in baseball with 8.32 hits per game.

With a 40-38 overall record, New York will come into this game 29-12 at home. Jacob deGrom has a record of 8-5 while sporting an earned run average of 2.15 on the year with a 0.93 WHIP. In his starts, the Mets are 9-6 and he has allowed 75 hits over 100.1 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 7-7. He is getting 4.1 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 2.81 and they have given up 160 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .213 against the Mets bullpen while walking 82 times and striking out 191 times. New York is averaging 7.97 strikeouts per game while getting 8.38 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.42.

As a team, they are batting .233, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .240 average at Safeco Field. Ranked at 25th in the league in on-base percentage, the Mets sit at .298 and they hold a .361 team slugging percentage. Juan Lagares leads the team in hits with 72 while the team ranks 30th in baseball with 7.69 hits a game.

The Cubs have committed 54 errors and have combined for 762 assists and 2,033 put outs leading to a .981 team fielding percentage. The Mets have committed 47 errors on the season with 777 assists and 2,071 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .984 on the year.

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 29-40 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 32-43 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 36-37 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 35-42 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Chicago Cubs

06/29/15 P Tsuyoshi Wada Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/23)
06/03/15 RF Jorge Soler Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/2)
04/17/15 3B Mike Olt Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/15)
04/15/15 2B Tommy La Stella Ribs Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/9)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

New York Mets

07/01/15 RF Michael Cuddyer Knee is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Chicago Cubs
06/23/15 C Travis d'Arnaud Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/12)
04/16/15 3B David Wright Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/15)
04/08/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets

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