Thursday, July 30, 2015

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta (11-6) vs. Jimmy Nelson (8-9)

The Chicago Cubs visit Miller Park on Thursday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -128 and Milwaukee at +118. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Cubs have a 40-52 over/under record and a 43-56 run line mark, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Brewers are 48-53 against the run line and have a 49-46 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Cubs head into this matchup with a 52-47 record, including 26-23 on the road. Jake Arrieta has a 11-6 record on the season, an earned run average of 2.61 and a 1.00 WHIP. He's pitched 134.2 innings thus far while surrendering 104 hits over that time and when he starts, the Cubs are 12-8. Against the over/under, the Cubs are 5-11 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.45 and they've given up 285 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen while being struck out 300 times and walking 124 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 8.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.51.

Chicago ranks 28th in the league in team batting average at .237 while hitting .247 on the road. Ranked at 18th in the league in on-base percentage, the Cubs sit at .314 and they hold a .371 team slugging percentage. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.05 hits per game and Anthony Rizzo leads the team with 100.

With a 20-29 home record, Milwaukee will hope to improve on their 44-57 overall mark. Jimmy Nelson has a record of 8-9 while sporting an earned run average of 3.97 on the year with a 1.29 WHIP. He's pitched 122.1 innings thus far while surrendering 114 hits over that time in which the Brewers are 9-11. Against the over/under, the Brewers are 10-10 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 4.2 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.23 and they have given up 264 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .231 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 311 times and walking 107 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 8.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.86 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09.

They rank 20th in the league in team batting average with a .251 average while hitting .247 at home. Ranked at 24th in the league in on-base percentage, the Brewers sit at .306 and they hold a .395 team slugging percentage. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.5 hits per game and Gerardo Parra leads the team with 99.

The Cubs have committed 68 errors and have combined for 1018 assists and 2,693 put outs leading to a .982 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .979 team fielding percentage while committing 78 errors, accumulating 1034 assists and compiling 2,690 put outs.

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 40-52 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 43-56 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 49-46 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 48-53 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Chicago Cubs

07/29/15 P Neil Ramirez Abdominal Injury is on the 15 day disabled list
07/17/15 C Miguel Montero Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/12)
06/29/15 P Tsuyoshi Wada Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/23)
04/15/15 2B Tommy La Stella Ribs Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/9)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Milwaukee Brewers

07/29/15 RF Ryan Braun Back is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. San Francisco Giants
06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers

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