Sunday, October 4, 2015

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Dan Haren (10-9) vs. Jorge Lopez (1-0)

The Chicago Cubs visit Miller Park on Sunday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Dan Haren for the Cubs and Jorge Lopez for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -174 and Milwaukee at +164. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Cubs, with a 80-80 run line record, cover the spread 50% of the time. They also have a 71-79 over/under record. The Brewers have a 81-67 over/under record and a 74-86 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 46% of the time.

The Cubs come into this game with a 95-65 record, and they are 46-33 away from home. Dan Haren has a 10-9 record on the season, an earned run average of 3.67 and a 1.15 WHIP. He's pitched 181.1 innings thus far while surrendering 171 hits over that time and when he starts, the Cubs are 16-15. Against the over/under, the Cubs are 18-12 in his starts. He is getting 4.4 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.41 and they have given up 449 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen while being struck out 505 times and walking 181 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7.93 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.82 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.40.

As a team, Chicago is batting .244, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.29 hits per game and Anthony Rizzo leads the team with 159.

With a 68-92 overall record, Milwaukee will come into this game 34-45 at home. Jorge Lopez has a record of 1-0 while sporting an earned run average of 5.40 on the year with a 2.00 WHIP. He's pitched 5 innings thus far while surrendering 8 hits over that time in which the Brewers are 1-0. Against the over/under, the Brewers are 0-0 when he starts. He is getting 4 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.46 and they have given up 470 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 536 times and walking 179 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.89 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31.

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Brewers hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.58 hits per game and Gerardo Parra leads the team with 151.

Chicago has a team fielding percentage of .982 after having committed 111 errors with 1,646 assists and 4,330 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .981 team fielding percentage while committing 114 errors, accumulating 1,661 assists and compiling 4,251 put outs.

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 71-79 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 80-80 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 81-67 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 74-86 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Chicago Cubs

08/25/15 P Jason Motte Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/24)
07/29/15 P Neil Ramirez Abdominal Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Milwaukee Brewers

09/29/15 RF Ryan Braun Back out for season
09/23/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique out for season
09/21/15 2B Elian Herrera Thigh likely out for season
09/17/15 P Jimmy Nelson Head Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/22)
09/17/15 P Matt Garza Personal out for season
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/13)

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

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