Saturday, October 3, 2015

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Kyle Hendricks (7-7) vs. Tyler Wagner (0-1)

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Chicago Cubs at Miller Park on Saturday. The probable starters are Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs and Tyler Wagner for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -174 and Milwaukee at +164. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Cubs, with a 79-80 run line record, cover the spread 50% of the time. They also have a 71-79 over/under record. The Brewers have a 81-67 over/under record and a 74-85 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 47% of the time.

The Cubs come into this game with a 94-65 record, and they are 45-33 away from home. Kyle Hendricks has an earned run average of 4.09 and is 7-7 so far on the season while having a 1.20 WHIP. In his starts, the Cubs are 18-13 over his 174 innings pitched this season while giving up 165 hits during those innings. The Cubs are also 16-15 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4.1 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.42 and they have given up 447 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen while being struck out 502 times and walking 180 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7.95 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.81 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.41.

Chicago ranks 29th in the league in team batting average at .244 while hitting .251 on the road. The Cubs hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.28 hits per game and Anthony Rizzo leads the team with 159.

With a 68-91 overall record, Milwaukee will come into this game 34-44 at home. Tyler Wagner is starting this game 0-1 for the season with an earned run average of 11.74 and a WHIP of 2.61. In his starts, the Brewers are 1-1 and he has allowed 15 hits over 7.2 innings pitched this season. The Brewers are also 1-1 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.46 and they have given up 465 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 533 times and walking 177 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 8.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.88 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.30.

They rank 13th in the league in team batting average with a .254 average while hitting .254 at home. The Brewers hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.61 hits per game and Gerardo Parra leads the team with 151.

Chicago has a team fielding percentage of .982 after having committed 109 errors with 1,634 assists and 4,303 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .981 team fielding percentage while committing 112 errors, accumulating 1,650 assists and compiling 4,224 put outs.

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 71-79 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 79-80 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 81-67 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 74-85 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Chicago Cubs

08/25/15 P Jason Motte Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/24)
07/29/15 P Neil Ramirez Abdominal Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Milwaukee Brewers

09/29/15 RF Ryan Braun Back out for season
09/23/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique out for season
09/21/15 2B Elian Herrera Thigh likely out for season
09/17/15 P Jimmy Nelson Head Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/22)
09/17/15 P Matt Garza Personal out for season
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/13)

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn