Wednesday, June 3, 2015

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jon Lester (4-3) vs. Dan Haren (5-2)

The Chicago Cubs take on The Miami Marlins on Wednesday at Marlins Park. The probable starters are Jon Lester for the Cubs and Dan Haren for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -128 and Miami at +118. The over/under was set at 7. The Cubs, with a 20-29 run line record, cover the spread 41% of the time. They also have a 20-24 over/under record. The Marlins have a 27-23 over/under record and a 21-31 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 40% of the time.

The Cubs come into this game with a 27-22 record, and they are 12-11 away from home. Jon Lester has an earned run average of 3.30 and is 4-3 so far on the season while having a 1.31 WHIP. The Cubs are 6-4 over his 62.2 innings pitched and he's also given up 65 hits over that time period. Against the over/under, the Cubs are 4-5 in his starts. He is getting 3.5 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 133 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.87. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen while being struck out 141 times and walking 61 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 8.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.81 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.61.

As a team, Chicago is batting .239, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .239 average away from home. The Cubs on-base percentage sits at .318, which puts them at 12th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .385. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.18 hits per game and Anthony Rizzo leads the team with 56.

With a 20-32 overall record, Miami will come into this game 10-16 at home. Dan Haren is starting this game 5-2 for the season with an earned run average of 3.03 and a WHIP of 1.04. The Marlins have a record of 7-3 over the 62.1 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 53 hits. Against the over/under, the Marlins are 7-2 when he starts. He is getting 4.7 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 169 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.95. Teams are hitting .256 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 160 times and walking 55 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.84 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09.

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .253 average at Safeco Field. The Marlins on-base percentage sits at .308, which puts them at 22nd in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .368. They rank 8th in baseball with 8.81 hits per game and Dee Gordon leads the team with 78.

In terms of team defense, the Cubs have a fielding percentage of .977 with 43 total errors, 517 assists and 1,340 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .990 team fielding percentage while committing 20 errors, accumulating 548 assists and compiling 1,386 put outs.

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 20-24 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 20-29 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 27-23 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 21-31 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Chicago Cubs

05/05/15 RF Chris Denorfia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/5)
04/17/15 3B Mike Olt Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/15)
04/17/15 P Neil Ramirez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/16)
04/15/15 2B Tommy La Stella Ribs Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/9)
04/06/15 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Miami Marlins

06/02/15 SS Adeiny Hechavarria Shoulder is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs. Chicago Cubs
05/26/15 1B Michael Morse Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/24)
05/23/15 P Mat Latos Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/20)
05/18/15 P Jarred Cosart Vertigo Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/14)
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/13)
04/14/15 C Jeff Mathis Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/13)
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29) out for season
04/06/15 P Jose Fernandez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs

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