Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jon Lester (10-12) vs. Anthony DeSclafani (9-12)

The Chicago Cubs visit Great American Ball Park on Wednesday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The Cubs send Jon Lester to the mound to face Anthony DeSclafani of the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -152 and Cincinnati at +142. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Cubs, with a 76-80 run line record, cover the spread 49% of the time. They also have a 69-78 over/under record. The Reds are 78-77 against the run line and have a 80-70 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Cubs show up with a 91-65 record, including 42-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Lester holds a 10-12 record with an earned run average of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.15. The Cubs are 16-15 over his 197 innings pitched and he's also given up 180 hits over that time period. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 9-19. He is getting 3.5 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.43 and they've given up 439 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 495 times and walking 178 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7.98 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.81 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.46.

As a team, Chicago is batting .243, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .250 average away from home. Ranked at 14th in the league in on-base percentage, the Cubs sit at .320 and they hold a .398 team slugging percentage. They rank 29th in baseball with 8.23 hits per game and Anthony Rizzo leads the team with 156.

Cincinnati is 34-44 at home while holding a 63-93 overall record on the season. With an earned run average of 3.91, Anthony DeSclafani will come into this game holding a 9-12 record and a 1.33 WHIP. The Reds have a record of 13-17 over the 179.2 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 186 hits. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 10-17. He is getting 3.8 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 4.00 and they have given up 488 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .241 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 470 times and walking 221 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.61 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33.

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. Ranked at 17th in the league in on-base percentage, the Reds sit at .315 and they hold a .398 team slugging percentage. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.6 hits per game and Joey Votto leads the team with 167.

The Cubs have committed 105 errors and have combined for 1,607 assists and 4,222 put outs leading to a .982 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .985 team fielding percentage while committing 87 errors, accumulating 1,577 assists and compiling 4,194 put outs.

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 69-78 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 76-80 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 80-70 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 78-77 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Chicago Cubs

08/25/15 P Jason Motte Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/24)
07/29/15 P Neil Ramirez Abdominal Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Cincinnati Reds

09/29/15 2B Brandon Phillips Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. Chicago Cubs
09/22/15 CF Billy Hamilton Shoulder out for season
09/22/15 CF Ryan LaMarre Hamstring out indefinitely
09/12/15 2B Kristopher Negron Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list; out for season
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn