Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jason Hammel (5-4) vs. Raisel Iglesias (1-2)

The Cincinnati Reds host the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday. The probable starters are Jason Hammel for the Cubs and Raisel Iglesias for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -135 and Cincinnati at +125. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Cubs have a 34-49 over/under record and a 41-49 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Reds are 43-45 against the run line and have a 45-40 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Cubs head into this matchup with a 49-41 record, including 24-21 on the road. Jason Hammel has a 5-4 record on the season, an earned run average of 2.86 and a 0.95 WHIP. The Cubs are 7-10 over his 103.2 innings pitched and he's also given up 80 hits over that time period. The Cubs are also 6-11 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 3.6 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.16 and they've given up 229 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen while being struck out 263 times and walking 112 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.25.

As a team, Chicago is batting .239, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. Ranked at 16th in the league in on-base percentage, the Cubs sit at .316 and they hold a .372 team slugging percentage. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.09 hits per game and Anthony Rizzo leads the team with 96.

With a 23-20 home record, Cincinnati will hope to improve on their 40-49 overall mark. Raisel Iglesias has a record of 1-2 while sporting an earned run average of 5.90 on the year with a 1.52 WHIP. The Reds have a record of 2-3 over the 29 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 35 hits. The Reds are also 3-2 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 4.6 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 4.18 and they have given up 252 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .238 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 239 times and walking 121 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.48 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.19 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.08.

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. Ranked at 18th in the league in on-base percentage, the Reds sit at .312 and they hold a .400 team slugging percentage. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.49 hits per game and Todd Frazier leads the team with 97.

The Cubs have committed 63 errors and have combined for 919 assists and 2,441 put outs leading to a .982 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .985 team fielding percentage while committing 50 errors, accumulating 938 assists and compiling 2,400 put outs.

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 34-49 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 41-49 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 45-40 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 43-45 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Chicago Cubs

07/17/15 P Jason Hammel Hamstring probable Tuesday vs Cincinnati Reds
07/17/15 C Miguel Montero Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/12)
06/29/15 P Tsuyoshi Wada Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/23)
04/15/15 2B Tommy La Stella Ribs Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/9)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Cincinnati Reds

06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs

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