Monday, July 20, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Clayton Richard (1-0) vs. Michael Lorenzen (3-4)

The Cincinnati Reds welcome the Chicago Cubs to Great American Ball Park on Monday. Clayton Richard is the probable starter for the Cubs and he'll face Michael Lorenzen of the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -105 and Cincinnati at -105. The over/under was set at 8. The Cubs, with a 40-49 run line record, cover the spread 46% of the time. They also have a 34-48 over/under record. The Reds are 43-45 against the run line and have a 45-40 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Cubs show up with a 48-41 record, including 23-21 on the road. Clayton Richard has an earned run average of 5.79 and is 1-0 so far on the season while having a 2.04 WHIP. In his starts, the Cubs are 1-0 over his 9.1 innings pitched this season while giving up 15 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 1-0. He is getting 7 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.16 and they have given up 229 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .223 against the Cubs bullpen while walking 112 times and striking out 263 times. Chicago is averaging 8.61 strikeouts per game while getting 7.81 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 3rd in baseball in team earned run average at 3.28.

As a team, Chicago is batting .239, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 16th in baseball. Anthony Rizzo leads the team in hits with 95 while the team ranks 26th in baseball with 8.08 hits per game.

Cincinnati is 23-20 at home while holding a 40-49 overall record on the season. Michael Lorenzen is starting this game 3-4 for the season with an earned run average of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.47. In his starts, the Reds are 5-7 and he has allowed 66 hits over 71.1 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 6-6. He is getting 3.8 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 252 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .238 against the Reds bullpen while walking 121 times and striking out 239 times. Cincinnati is averaging 7.19 strikeouts per game while getting 8.45 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.10.

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Reds hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 18th in baseball. Todd Frazier leads the team in hits with 97 while the team ranks 18th in baseball with 8.48 hits a game.

Chicago has a team fielding percentage of .981 after having committed 63 errors with 908 assists and 2,414 put outs for the season. The Reds have committed 49 errors on the season with 930 assists and 2,367 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .985 on the year.

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 34-48 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 40-49 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 45-40 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 43-45 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Chicago Cubs

07/17/15 P Jason Hammel Hamstring probable Tuesday vs Cincinnati Reds07/17/15 C Miguel Montero Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/12)06/29/15 P Tsuyoshi Wada Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/23)04/15/15 2B Tommy La Stella Ribs Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/9)04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Cincinnati Reds

07/19/15 3B Todd Frazier Rest has been scratched from today%27s starting lineup06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds

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