Sunday, July 19, 2015

Turner Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta (10-5) vs. Shelby Miller (5-5)

The Chicago Cubs visit Turner Field on Sunday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Shelby Miller for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -125 and Atlanta at +115. The over/under was set at 7. The Cubs, with a 39-49 run line record, cover the spread 44% of the time. They also have a 34-47 over/under record. The Braves have a 47-39 over/under record and a 51-39 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 57% of the time.

The Cubs head into this matchup with a 47-41 record, including 22-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta holds a 10-5 record with an earned run average of 2.66 and a WHIP of 0.99. In his starts, the Cubs are 11-7 over his 121.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 95 hits during those innings. The Cubs are also 5-9 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.2 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.17 and they have given up 227 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen while being struck out 259 times and walking 110 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7.87 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.31.

Chicago is batting .239 as a team, which is good for 26th in the league and hitting .248 away from home. The Cubs hold a .373 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.08 hits per game and Anthony Rizzo leads the team with 93.

With a 24-17 home record, Atlanta will hope to improve on their 43-47 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.38, Shelby Miller will come into this game holding a 5-5 record and a 1.15 WHIP. In his starts, the Braves are 9-9 and he has allowed 96 hits over 113.2 innings pitched this season. The Braves are also 6-11 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 3.2 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 266 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 243 times and walking 110 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.43 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.02.

They are batting .256 as a team, which is good for 8th in the league and hitting .253 at home. The Braves hold a .368 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.63 hits per game and Nick Markakis leads the team with 98.

Chicago has a team fielding percentage of .981 after having committed 62 errors with 899 assists and 2,387 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .985 team fielding percentage while committing 49 errors, accumulating 912 assists and compiling 2,386 put outs.

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 34-47 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 39-49 against the run line so far this season

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 47-39 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 51-39 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Chicago Cubs

07/17/15 P Jason Hammel Hamstring probable Tuesday vs Cincinnati Reds
07/17/15 C Miguel Montero Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/12)
06/29/15 P Tsuyoshi Wada Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/23)
04/15/15 2B Tommy La Stella Ribs Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/9)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Atlanta Braves

07/11/15 P Jason Grilli Achilles Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/17); out for season
06/27/15 P Williams Perez Foot Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/27)
06/23/15 1B Freddie Freeman Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/18)
06/04/15 P Daniel Winkler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
05/19/15 2B Philip Gosselin Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/18)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/06/15 P Bronson Arroyo Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs

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