Sunday, September 20, 2015

Rogers Centre

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Rich Hill (0-0) vs. Mark Buehrle (14-7)

The Toronto Blue Jays welcome the Boston Red Sox to Rogers Centre on Sunday. The probable starters are Rich Hill for the Red Sox and Mark Buehrle for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +190 and Toronto at -205. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Red Sox have a 78-62 over/under record and a 70-76 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Blue Jays are 84-63 against the run line and have a 70-69 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 69-77 record, including 30-42 on the road. Rich Hill didn't give up any earned runs in his first start of the season and walked away with a no decision while having a 0.29 WHIP. The Red Sox are 1-0 over his 7 innings pitched and he's also given up 1 hits over that time period. The Red Sox are also 0-1 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 2 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 4.33 and they've given up 472 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen while being struck out 401 times and walking 164 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 9.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.56 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.44.

Boston ranks 4th in the league in team batting average at .267 while hitting .240 on the road. Ranked at 5th in the league in on-base percentage, the Red Sox sit at .327 and they hold a .417 team slugging percentage. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.33 hits per game and Xander Bogaerts leads the team with 176.

With a 48-25 home record, Toronto will hope to improve on their 85-62 overall mark. Mark Buehrle is starting this game 14-7 for the season with an earned run average of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.22. The Blue Jays have a record of 16-12 over the 179.1 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 190 hits. The Blue Jays are also 16-10 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 6.1 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.27 and they have given up 363 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .225 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 413 times and walking 114 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.48 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.97 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79.

They rank 5th in the league in team batting average with a .267 average while hitting .279 at home. Ranked at 1st in the league in on-base percentage, the Blue Jays sit at .337 and they hold a .453 team slugging percentage. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.06 hits per game and Josh Donaldson leads the team with 173.

The Red Sox have committed 88 errors and have combined for 1,467 assists and 3,919 put outs leading to a .984 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .986 team fielding percentage while committing 77 errors, accumulating 1,465 assists and compiling 3,925 put outs.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 78-62 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 70-76 against the run line so far this season

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 70-69 against the over/under so far this season

The Toronto Blue Jays are 84-63 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

09/19/15 3B Pablo Sandoval Illness is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
09/16/15 P Joe Kelly Shoulder out for season
09/05/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/27)
08/28/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11); out for season
08/15/15 P Steven Wright Concussion Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/15)
08/11/15 P Koji Uehara Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/8), out for season
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Toronto Blue Jays

09/12/15 SS Troy Tulowitzki Back out indefinitely
07/29/15 2B Devon Travis Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/29)
05/10/15 RF Michael Saunders Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/10)
04/06/15 2B Maicer Izturis Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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