Sunday, June 28, 2015

Tropicana Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Justin Masterson (2-2) vs. Chris Archer (9-4)

The Boston Red Sox visit Tropicana Field on Sunday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. Justin Masterson is the probable starter for the Red Sox and he'll face Chris Archer of the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +167 and Tampa Bay at -177. The over/under was set at 7. The Red Sox have a 35-37 over/under record and a 31-44 run line mark, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Rays have a 29-42 over/under record and a 44-31 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 59% of the time.

The Red Sox show up with a 33-42 record, including 16-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Justin Masterson holds a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.67. He's pitched 35.1 innings thus far while surrendering 40 hits over that time and when he starts, the Red Sox are 3-4. Against the over/under, the Red Sox are 4-3 in his starts. He is getting 4.6 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 233 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.72. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 197 times and walking 85 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 9.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.26 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.45.

As a team, Boston is batting .257, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. The Red Sox on-base percentage sits at .323, which puts them at 11th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .395. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.81 hits per game and Dustin Pedroia leads the team with 86.

Tampa Bay is 19-20 at home while holding a 41-34 overall record on the season. With an earned run average of 2.10, Chris Archer will come into this game holding a 9-4 record and a 0.96 WHIP. He's pitched 103 innings thus far while surrendering 75 hits over that time in which the Rays are 11-5. Against the over/under, the Rays are 5-8 when he starts. He is getting 3.8 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 229 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.56. Teams are hitting .236 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 244 times and walking 100 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 7.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.34 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.29.

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .253 average at Safeco Field. The Rays on-base percentage sits at .310, which puts them at 20th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .384. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.2 hits per game and Logan Forsythe leads the team with 77.

In terms of team defense, the Red Sox have a fielding percentage of .984 with 44 total errors, 782 assists and 2,007 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .987 team fielding percentage while committing 36 errors, accumulating 676 assists and compiling 2,021 put outs.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 35-37 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 31-44 against the run line so far this season

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays are 29-42 against the over/under so far this season

The Tampa Bay Rays are 44-31 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

06/27/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Hand is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
06/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/25)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/28/15 RF Daniel Nava Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/24/15 RF Shane Victorino Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
05/02/15 C Ryan Hanigan Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Tampa Bay Rays

06/12/15 P Andrew Bellatti Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/10)
06/10/15 P Jake Odorizzi Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/6)
05/31/15 2B Tim Beckham Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/31)
05/25/15 1B James Loney Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/24)
05/10/15 P Drew Smyly Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/6), out for season
05/09/15 P Alex Cobb Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
05/03/15 CF Desmond Jennings Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/26)
04/29/15 P Kirby Yates Pectoral Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/29)
04/18/15 P Jeff Beliveau Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/22), out for season
04/09/15 C John Jaso Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/7)
04/06/15 P Matt Moore Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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