Saturday, August 29, 2015

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Joe Kelly (7-6) vs. Jacob deGrom (12-6)

The Boston Red Sox head to Citi Field on Saturday to take on the New York Mets. The probable starters are Joe Kelly for the Red Sox and Jacob deGrom for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +183 and New York at -193. The over/under was set at 8. The Red Sox have a 67-54 over/under record and a 58-69 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Mets have a 64-57 over/under record and a 67-59 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 53% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 58-69 record, including 25-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Joe Kelly holds a 7-6 record with an earned run average of 5.18 and a WHIP of 1.46. In his starts, the Red Sox are 10-11 over his 113 innings pitched this season while giving up 124 hits during those innings. The Red Sox are also 12-8 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 5.2 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 419 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 4.31. Opposing teams are hitting .264 against the Red Sox bullpen while walking 138 times and striking out 349 times. Boston is averaging 7.45 strikeouts per game while getting 9.44 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 28th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.57.

As a team, Boston is batting .265, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .237 average away from home. The Red Sox on-base percentage sits at .326, which puts them at 5th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .411. Xander Bogaerts leads the team in hits with 149 while the team ranks 5th in baseball with 9.2 hits per game.

With a 42-21 home record, New York will hope to improve on their 71-56 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.29, Jacob deGrom will come into this game holding a 12-6 record and a 0.94 WHIP. In his starts, the Mets are 17-7 and he has allowed 116 hits over 157 innings pitched this season. The Mets are also 12-11 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 4.5 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 287 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.08. Opposing teams are hitting .220 against the Mets bullpen while walking 132 times and striking out 327 times. New York is averaging 8.05 strikeouts per game while getting 8.15 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.31.

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Mets on-base percentage sits at .306, which puts them at 22nd in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .390. Curtis Granderson leads the team in hits with 119 while the team ranks 27th in baseball with 8.25 hits a game.

In terms of team defense, the Red Sox have a fielding percentage of .984 with 77 total errors, 1,292 assists and 3,391 put outs. The Mets have committed 71 errors on the season with 1263 assists and 3,442 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .985 on the year.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 67-54 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 58-69 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 64-57 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 67-59 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

08/15/15 P Steven Wright Concussion 7-day DL (8/15)
08/11/15 P Koji Uehara Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/8), out for season
07/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/23)
07/11/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

New York Mets

08/23/15 1B Lucas Duda Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/22)
08/19/15 P Bobby Parnell Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/17)
08/05/15 P Rafael Montero Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/30)
08/03/15 LF Kirk Nieuwenhuis Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
07/09/15 P Steven Matz Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/6)
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets

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