Saturday, August 8, 2015

Comerica Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley (8-9) vs. Alfredo Simon (10-6)

The Boston Red Sox head to Comerica Park on Saturday to take on the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Wade Miley for the Red Sox and Alfredo Simon for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -103 and Detroit at -107. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Red Sox have a 53-52 over/under record and a 46-63 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Tigers have a 59-45 over/under record and a 52-56 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 48% of the time.

The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 48-61 record, including 21-33 on the road. Wade Miley has an earned run average of 4.55 and is 8-9 so far on the season while having a 1.39 WHIP. In his starts, the Red Sox are 10-12 over his 126.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 128 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Red Sox are 10-12 in his starts. He is getting 4.5 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 4.05 and they've given up 353 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .257 against the Red Sox bullpen while walking 120 times and striking out 305 times. Boston is averaging 7.5 strikeouts per game while getting 9.33 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 28th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.55.

As a team, Boston is batting .256, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .231 average away from home. Ranked at 12th in the league in on-base percentage, the Red Sox sit at .318 and they hold a .392 team slugging percentage. Xander Bogaerts leads the team in hits with 123 while the team ranks 9th in baseball with 8.78 hits per game.

With a 27-28 home record, Detroit will hope to improve on their 53-55 overall mark. Alfredo Simon is starting this game 10-6 for the season with an earned run average of 4.55 and a WHIP of 1.43. In his starts, the Tigers are 12-8 and he has allowed 125 hits over 116.2 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Tigers are 11-8 when he starts. He is getting 4.8 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 4.26 and they have given up 338 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .271 against the Tigers bullpen while walking 121 times and striking out 262 times. Detroit is averaging 6.99 strikeouts per game while getting 9.35 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.44.

As a team, they are batting .275, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .285 average at home. Ranked at 2nd in the league in on-base percentage, the Tigers sit at .331 and they hold a .430 team slugging percentage. Ian Kinsler leads the team in hits with 127 while the team ranks 1st in baseball with 9.56 hits a game.

The Red Sox have committed 64 errors and have combined for 1,097 assists and 2,904 put outs leading to a .984 team fielding percentage. The Tigers have committed 53 errors on the season with 1064 assists and 2,912 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .987 on the year.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 53-52 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 46-63 against the run line so far this season

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 59-45 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 52-56 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

08/02/15 P Rick Porcello Tricep Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/30)
07/29/15 CF Mookie Betts Concussion 7-day DL (7/28)
07/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/23)
07/11/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Detroit Tigers

08/05/15 P Alfredo Simon Groin expected to miss start Saturday vs Boston Red Sox
07/04/15 1B Miguel Cabrera Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/3)
05/24/15 P Kyle Lobstein Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23)
05/08/15 P Joe Nathan Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/7), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers

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