Saturday, October 3, 2015

Progressive Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello (9-14) vs. Corey Kluber (8-16)

The Boston Red Sox take on the Cleveland Indians on Saturday at Progressive Field. The probable starters are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Corey Kluber for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +111 and Cleveland at -121. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Red Sox have a 82-71 over/under record and a 79-80 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Indians are 76-82 against the run line and have a 78-78 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Red Sox come into this game with a 78-81 record, and they are 35-43 away from home. Rick Porcello has an earned run average of 5.02 and is 9-14 so far on the season while having a 1.35 WHIP. The Red Sox are 11-16 over his 165 innings pitched and he's also given up 186 hits over that time period. Against the over/under, the Red Sox are 14-13 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 5.1 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 506 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen while being struck out 424 times and walking 185 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.56 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33.

Boston ranks 5th in the league in team batting average at .267 while hitting .243 on the road. The Red Sox hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.31 hits per game and Xander Bogaerts leads the team with 194.

With a 78-80 overall record, Cleveland will come into this game 36-41 at home. Corey Kluber is starting this game 8-16 for the season with an earned run average of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.07. The Indians have a record of 10-21 over the 214 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 186 hits. Against the over/under, the Indians are 14-17 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 3.4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.17 and they have given up 413 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 432 times and walking 147 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.84 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73.

They rank 11th in the league in team batting average with a .256 average while hitting .273 at home. The Indians hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.65 hits per game and Jason Kipnis leads the team with 170.

Boston has a team fielding percentage of .984 after having committed 96 errors with 1,602 assists and 4,273 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .986 team fielding percentage while committing 79 errors, accumulating 1,502 assists and compiling 4,217 put outs.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 82-71 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 79-80 against the run line so far this season

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 78-78 against the over/under so far this season

The Cleveland Indians are 76-82 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

09/26/15 3B Pablo Sandoval Pneumonia out for season
09/24/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/27); out for season
09/16/15 P Joe Kelly Shoulder out for season
08/28/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11); out for season
08/15/15 P Steven Wright Concussion Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/15)
08/11/15 P Koji Uehara Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/8), out for season
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Cleveland Indians

09/30/15 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder out for season
09/29/15 P Nick Hagadone Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/7), out for season
09/29/15 P T.J. House Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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