Friday, October 2, 2015

Progressive Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Henry Owens (4-3) vs. Josh Tomlin (6-2)

The Boston Red Sox take on the Cleveland Indians on Friday at Progressive Field. The probable starters are Henry Owens for the Red Sox and Josh Tomlin for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +128 and Cleveland at -138. The over/under was set at 8. The Red Sox, with a 79-79 run line record, cover the spread 50% of the time. They also have a 82-70 over/under record. The Indians are 76-81 against the run line and have a 78-77 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Red Sox show up with a 78-80 record, including 35-42 on the road. Henry Owens has an earned run average of 3.84 and is 4-3 so far on the season while having a 1.23 WHIP. In his starts, the Red Sox are 5-5 over his 58.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 52 hits during those innings. The Red Sox are also 7-3 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 5.4 runs when he starts. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 4.27 and they've given up 502 hits on the season. The bullpen has struck out 422 and walked 183 batters this season while opposing teams hit .261 against them. Boston has a team average of 9.2 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.55 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.33, they are 25th in the league.

Boston is batting .267 as a team, which is good for 5th in the league and hitting .244 away from home. Ranked at 4th in the league in on-base percentage, the Red Sox sit at .327 and they hold a .419 team slugging percentage. With 193 hits, Xander Bogaerts leads the team while his team ranks 2nd in hits per game with 9.32.

Cleveland is 36-40 at home while holding a 78-79 overall record on the season. Josh Tomlin is starting this game 6-2 for the season with an earned run average of 3.03 and a WHIP of 0.81. In his starts, the Indians are 8-4 and he has allowed 42 hits over 59.1 innings pitched this season. The Indians are also 6-6 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.6 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.16 and they have given up 410 hits on the season. The Indians bullpen has struck out 432 batters and walked 146 this season while opposing teams have hit .240 against them. Cleveland has a team average of 8.09 hits per game and are averaging 8.88 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.76, they are 10th in the league.

They are batting .256 as a team, which is good for 11th in the league and hitting .274 at home. Ranked at 7th in the league in on-base percentage, the Indians sit at .324 and they hold a .399 team slugging percentage. With 169 hits, Jason Kipnis leads the team while his team ranks 11th in hits per game with 8.66.

The Red Sox have committed 96 errors and have combined for 1,592 assists and 4,249 put outs leading to a .984 team fielding percentage. Over the course of this season, the Indians have accumulated 78 errors while having 1,491 assists and 4,190 put outs leading to a .986 fielding percentage.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 82-70 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 79-79 against the run line so far this season

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 78-77 against the over/under so far this season

The Cleveland Indians are 76-81 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

10/01/15 RF Rusney Castillo Quad is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. New York Yankees
10/01/15 DH David Ortiz Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. New York Yankees
09/26/15 3B Pablo Sandoval Pneumonia out for season
09/24/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/27); out for season
09/16/15 P Joe Kelly Shoulder out for season
08/28/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11); out for season
08/15/15 P Steven Wright Concussion Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/15)
08/11/15 P Koji Uehara Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/8), out for season
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Cleveland Indians

09/30/15 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder out for season
09/29/15 P Nick Hagadone Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/7), out for season
09/29/15 P T.J. House Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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