Tuesday, September 15, 2015

Oriole Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Joe Kelly (10-6) vs. Ubaldo Jimenez (11-9)

The Baltimore Orioles host the Boston Red Sox at Oriole Park on Tuesday. The probable starters are Joe Kelly for the Red Sox and Ubaldo Jimenez for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +105 and Baltimore at -115. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Red Sox have a 76-60 over/under record and a 68-74 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Orioles are 71-71 against the run line and have a 63-71 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Red Sox come into this game with a 68-74 record, and they are 29-39 away from home. Joe Kelly has an earned run average of 4.70 and is 10-6 so far on the season while having a 1.42 WHIP. The Red Sox are 13-11 over his 132 innings pitched and he's also given up 140 hits over that time period. The Red Sox are also 14-9 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 5.4 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 461 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen while being struck out 387 times and walking 161 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.53 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.48.

Boston is batting .268 as a team, which is good for 4th in the league and hitting .240 away from home. The Red Sox hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.35 hits per game and Xander Bogaerts leads the team with 172.

With a 69-73 overall record, Baltimore will come into this game 42-29 at home. Ubaldo Jimenez is starting this game 11-9 for the season with an earned run average of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.36. The Orioles have a record of 15-13 over the 160 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 161 hits. The Orioles are also 13-13 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.5 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have given up 393 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 442 times and walking 161 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.62 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.06.

They are batting .253 as a team, which is good for 16th in the league and hitting .270 at home. The Orioles hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.56 hits per game and Manny Machado leads the team with 162.

Boston has a team fielding percentage of .984 after having committed 84 errors with 1,427 assists and 3,808 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .988 team fielding percentage while committing 64 errors, accumulating 1,385 assists and compiling 3,765 put outs.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 76-60 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 68-74 against the run line so far this season

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 63-71 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 71-71 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

09/14/15 3B Brock Holt Back is downgraded to doubtful Monday vs. Baltimore Orioles
09/05/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/27)
08/28/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11); out for season
08/15/15 P Steven Wright Concussion Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/15)
08/11/15 P Koji Uehara Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/8), out for season
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Baltimore Orioles

09/05/15 P Miguel Gonzalez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/31)
05/13/15 P Jason Garcia Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/11)

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn