Thursday, June 18, 2015

Turner Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Clay Buchholz (3-6) vs. Shelby Miller (5-2)

The Boston Red Sox head to Turner Field on Thursday to take on the Atlanta Braves. Clay Buchholz is the probable starter for the Red Sox and he'll face Shelby Miller of the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +106 and Atlanta at -116. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Red Sox have a 30-34 over/under record and a 26-40 run line mark, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Braves have a 41-21 over/under record and a 36-29 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 55% of the time.

The Red Sox come into this game with a 28-38 record, and they are 12-20 away from home. Clay Buchholz has an earned run average of 4.22 and is 3-6 so far on the season while having a 1.32 WHIP. He's pitched 79 innings thus far while surrendering 83 hits over that time and when he starts, the Red Sox are 4-9. The Red Sox are also 4-7 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 3.4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 204 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen while being struck out 169 times and walking 74 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 9.09 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52.

Boston ranks 17th in the league in team batting average at .251 while hitting .224 on the road. The Red Sox hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.56 hits per game and Dustin Pedroia leads the team with 81.

With a 31-34 overall record, Atlanta will come into this game 15-14 at home. Shelby Miller is starting this game 5-2 for the season with an earned run average of 2.02 and a WHIP of 1.03. He's pitched 84.2 innings thus far while surrendering 60 hits over that time in which the Braves are 9-4. The Braves are also 5-8 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 3.8 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.71 and they have given up 181 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 171 times and walking 85 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.94 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.22 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26.

They rank 9th in the league in team batting average with a .260 average while hitting .261 at home. The Braves hold a .375 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.86 hits per game and Freddie Freeman leads the team with 76.

Boston has a team fielding percentage of .984 after having committed 39 errors with 684 assists and 1,767 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .986 team fielding percentage while committing 35 errors, accumulating 663 assists and compiling 1,725 put outs.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 30-34 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 26-40 against the run line so far this season

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 41-21 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 36-29 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Boston Red Sox

06/17/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Back "?" Wednesday vs. Atlanta Braves
06/16/15 DH David Ortiz None is not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday & Thursday vs. Atlanta Braves
06/16/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee "?" Wednesday vs. Atlanta Braves
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/28/15 RF Daniel Nava Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/24/15 RF Shane Victorino Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
05/02/15 C Ryan Hanigan Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Atlanta Braves

06/16/15 SS Andrelton Simmons Hand "?" Wednesday vs. Boston Red Sox
06/04/15 P Daniel Winkler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
05/19/15 2B Philip Gosselin Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/18)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)

Guy's Pick: Take the Braves

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