Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves Free MLB Picks & Odds 6-17-2015
by Guy Bruhn - 6/16/2015
Wednesday, June 17, 2015
Turner Field
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Joe Kelly (2-4) vs. Alex Wood (4-4)
The Atlanta Braves welcome the Boston Red Sox to Turner Field on Wednesday. Joe Kelly is the probable starter for the Red Sox and he'll face Alex Wood of the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +100 and Atlanta at -110. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Red Sox have a 29-34 over/under record and a 25-40 run line mark, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Braves have a 40-21 over/under record and a 36-28 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 56% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 27-38 record, including 12-20 on the road. Joe Kelly has a 2-4 record on the season, an earned run average of 5.45 and a 1.42 WHIP. The Red Sox are 5-7 over his 66 innings pitched and he's also given up 68 hits over that time period. The Red Sox are also 6-6 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 4.2 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 199 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.75. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen while being struck out 166 times and walking 74 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 9.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.25 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53.
As a team, Boston is batting .247, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .224 average away from home. The Red Sox on-base percentage sits at .316, which puts them at 14th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .377. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.42 hits per game and Dustin Pedroia leads the team with 81.
With a 15-14 home record, Atlanta will hope to improve on their 31-33 overall mark. Alex Wood has a record of 4-4 while sporting an earned run average of 3.56 on the year with a 1.45 WHIP. The Braves have a record of 4-8 over the 73.1 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 83 hits. The Braves are also 7-3 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 4.1 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 176 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 4.61. Teams are hitting .242 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 171 times and walking 85 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.27 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17.
As a team, they are batting .260, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .261 average at Safeco Field. The Braves on-base percentage sits at .323, which puts them at 8th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .375. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.84 hits per game and Freddie Freeman leads the team with 75.
In terms of team defense, the Red Sox have a fielding percentage of .984 with 39 total errors, 676 assists and 1,740 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .985 team fielding percentage while committing 35 errors, accumulating 651 assists and compiling 1,701 put outs.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 29-34 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 25-40 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 40-21 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 36-28 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
06/16/15 DH David Ortiz None is not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday & Thursday vs. Atlanta Braves
06/16/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee is not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. Atlanta Braves
06/16/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Back is not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. Atlanta Braves
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/28/15 RF Daniel Nava Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/24/15 RF Shane Victorino Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
05/02/15 C Ryan Hanigan Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season
Atlanta Braves
06/16/15 SS Andrelton Simmons Hand is not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. Boston Red Sox
06/04/15 P Daniel Winkler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
05/19/15 2B Philip Gosselin Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/18)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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