Sunday, September 6, 2015

Rogers Centre

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Chris Tillman (9-10) vs. Marco Estrada (11-8)

The Baltimore Orioles visit Rogers Centre on Sunday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The Orioles send Chris Tillman to the mound to face Marco Estrada of the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -168 and Toronto at +158. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Orioles have a 58-68 over/under record and a 67-67 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Blue Jays are 75-59 against the run line and have a 63-63 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.

The Orioles come into this game with a 65-69 record, and they are 25-41 away from home. Chris Tillman has a 9-10 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.87 and a 1.36 WHIP. He's pitched 140.1 innings thus far while surrendering 141 hits over that time and when he starts, the Orioles are 12-13. The Orioles are also 11-13 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 4.7 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 363 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 2.86. Opposing teams are hitting .230 against the Orioles bullpen while walking 152 times and striking out 418 times. Baltimore is averaging 7.64 strikeouts per game while getting 8.76 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 14th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.92.

As a team, Baltimore is batting .253, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .239 average away from home. The Orioles on-base percentage sits at .306, which puts them at 28th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .422. Manny Machado leads the team in hits with 154 while the team ranks 18th in baseball with 8.56 hits per game.

With a 76-58 overall record, Toronto will come into this game 45-25 at home. Marco Estrada has a record of 11-8 while sporting an earned run average of 3.16 on the year with a 1.08 WHIP. He's pitched 142.1 innings thus far while surrendering 110 hits over that time in which the Blue Jays are 12-10. The Blue Jays are also 9-13 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 4.7 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 319 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.16. Opposing teams are hitting .220 against the Blue Jays bullpen while walking 104 times and striking out 377 times. Toronto is averaging 7 strikeouts per game while getting 8.46 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77.

As a team, they are batting .266, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .276 average at home. The Blue Jays on-base percentage sits at .335, which puts them at 1st in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .449. Josh Donaldson leads the team in hits with 157 while the team ranks 8th in baseball with 8.98 hits a game.

In terms of team defense, the Orioles have a fielding percentage of .988 with 57 total errors, 1,316 assists and 3,558 put outs. The Blue Jays have committed 74 errors on the season with 1,328 assists and 3,576 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .985 on the year.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 58-68 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 67-67 against the run line so far this season

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-63 against the over/under so far this season

The Toronto Blue Jays are 75-59 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

09/05/15 3B Jimmy Paredes Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
09/05/15 P Miguel Gonzalez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/31)
08/24/15 SS J.J. Hardy Groin Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/24)
05/13/15 P Jason Garcia Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/11)

Toronto Blue Jays

07/29/15 2B Devon Travis Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
05/10/15 RF Michael Saunders Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/10)
04/06/15 2B Maicer Izturis Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Marcus Stroman Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles

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