Tuesday, July 7, 2015

Target Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman (1-0) vs. Kyle Gibson (6-6)

The Minnesota Twins host the Baltimore Orioles at Target Field on Tuesday. The probable starters are Kevin Gausman for the Orioles and Kyle Gibson for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -105 and Minnesota at -105. The over/under was set at 8. The Orioles have a 34-44 over/under record and a 46-36 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Twins have a 37-39 over/under record and a 51-31 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 62% of the time.

The Orioles head into this matchup with a 43-39 record, including 15-22 on the road. Kevin Gausman has a 1-0 record on the season, an earned run average of 3.09 and a 1.16 WHIP. The Orioles are 1-1 over his 23.1 innings pitched and he's also given up 19 hits over that time period. Against the over/under, the Orioles are 0-2 in his starts. The team is averaging 2.5 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 210 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 2.82. Opposing teams are hitting .221 against the Orioles bullpen while walking 92 times and striking out 258 times. Baltimore is averaging 7.79 strikeouts per game while getting 8.32 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 13th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.67.

Baltimore is batting .257 as a team, which is good for 11th in the league and hitting .242 away from home. The Orioles on-base percentage sits at .312, which puts them at 19th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .421. Manny Machado leads the team in hits with 95 while the team ranks 14th in baseball with 8.57 hits per game.

With a 25-15 home record, Minnesota will hope to improve on their 43-39 overall mark. Kyle Gibson has a record of 6-6 while sporting an earned run average of 3.04 on the year with a 1.24 WHIP. The Twins have a record of 8-8 over the 100.2 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 92 hits. Against the over/under, the Twins are 5-9 when he starts. The team is averaging 3.4 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has given up 245 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.88. Opposing teams are hitting .257 against the Twins bullpen while walking 77 times and striking out 161 times. Minnesota is averaging 6.02 strikeouts per game while getting 9.43 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86.

They are batting .250 as a team, which is good for 17th in the league and hitting .276 at home. The Twins on-base percentage sits at .302, which puts them at 25th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .391. Brian Dozier leads the team in hits with 83 while the team ranks 21st in baseball with 8.35 hits a game.

In terms of team defense, the Orioles have a fielding percentage of .987 with 38 total errors, 755 assists and 2,160 put outs. The Twins have committed 46 errors on the season with 857 assists and 2,177 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .985 on the year.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 34-44 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 46-36 against the run line so far this season

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 37-39 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 51-31 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

05/13/15 P Jason Garcia Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/11)
04/11/15 P Wesley Wright Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/11)

Minnesota Twins

07/03/15 CF Shane Robinson Personal out indefinitely
06/26/15 CF Byron Buxton Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/25)
06/04/15 P Ricky Nolasco Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/1)
05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)

Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles

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