Saturday, September 26, 2015

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Wei-Yin Chen (10-7) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (9-6)

The Boston Red Sox host the Baltimore Orioles at Fenway Park on Saturday. Wei-Yin Chen is the probable starter for the Orioles and he'll face Eduardo Rodriguez of the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -114 and Boston at +104. The over/under was set at 8. The Orioles, with a 75-77 run line record, cover the spread 49% of the time. They also have a 68-75 over/under record. The Red Sox are 73-79 against the run line and have a 80-66 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Orioles show up with a 76-76 record, including 32-46 on the road. Starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen holds a 10-7 record with an earned run average of 3.36 and a WHIP of 1.22. In his starts, the Orioles are 18-11 over his 179.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 183 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Orioles are 10-17 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.10 and they've given up 422 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .230 against the Orioles bullpen while walking 176 times and striking out 489 times. Baltimore is averaging 7.71 strikeouts per game while getting 8.8 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 18th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.05.

Baltimore ranks 18th in the league in team batting average at .251 while hitting .236 on the road. Ranked at 26th in the league in on-base percentage, the Orioles sit at .307 and they hold a .421 team slugging percentage. Manny Machado leads the team in hits with 172 while the team ranks 21st in baseball with 8.51 hits per game.

Boston is 40-38 at home while holding a 72-80 overall record on the season. With an earned run average of 3.97, Eduardo Rodriguez will come into this game holding a 9-6 record and a 1.29 WHIP. In his starts, the Red Sox are 11-8 and he has allowed 113 hits over 115.2 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Red Sox are 10-9 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 5.1 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 4.39 and they have given up 491 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .263 against the Red Sox bullpen while walking 172 times and striking out 412 times. Boston is averaging 7.58 strikeouts per game while getting 9.32 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.45.

They rank 4th in the league in team batting average with a .267 average while hitting .291 at home. Ranked at 4th in the league in on-base percentage, the Red Sox sit at .327 and they hold a .415 team slugging percentage. Xander Bogaerts leads the team in hits with 185 while the team ranks 3rd in baseball with 9.31 hits a game.

The Orioles have committed 68 errors and have combined for 1,490 assists and 4,043 put outs leading to a .988 team fielding percentage. The Red Sox have committed 92 errors on the season with 1,532 assists and 4,081 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .984 on the year.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 68-75 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 75-77 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 80-66 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 73-79 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

09/24/15 CF Adam Jones Back out indefinitely
09/05/15 P Miguel Gonzalez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/31)
05/13/15 P Jason Garcia Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/11)

Boston Red Sox

09/24/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/27); out for season
09/23/15 3B Pablo Sandoval Pneumonia out indefinitely
09/16/15 P Joe Kelly Shoulder out for season
08/28/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11); out for season
08/15/15 P Steven Wright Concussion Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/15)
08/11/15 P Koji Uehara Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/8), out for season
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles

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