Saturday, July 25, 2015

Busch Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Shelby Mi (5-6) vs. Carlos Mart (10-4)

The Atlanta Braves visit Busch Stadium on Saturday to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Shelby Miller for the Braves and Carlos Martinez for the Cardinals. The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +173 and St. Louis at -183. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Braves have a 48-43 over/under record and a 53-43 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Cardinals are 52-44 against the run line and have a 37-55 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Braves head into this matchup with a 45-51 record, including 19-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Shelby Miller holds a 5-6 record with an earned run average of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.16. The Braves are 9-10 over his 119.2 innings pitched and he's also given up 100 hits over that time period. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 1-5. He is getting 3.3 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 282 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 259 times and walking 118 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96.

As a team, Atlanta is batting .253, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .258 average away from home. The Braves hold a .365 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.51 hits per game and Nick Markakis leads the team with 103.

With a 35-12 home record, St. Louis will hope to improve on their 62-34 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.51, Carlos Martinez will come into this game holding a 10-4 record and a 1.26 WHIP. The Cardinals have a record of 14-4 over the 111.1 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 93 hits. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 9-8. He is getting 5.2 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.35 and they have given up 262 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 264 times and walking 105 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.12 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.68.

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .265 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 8.82 hits per game and Jhonny Peralta leads the team with 107.

Atlanta has a team fielding percentage of .984 after having committed 56 errors with 963 assists and 2,545 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .985 team fielding percentage while committing 55 errors, accumulating 951 assists and compiling 2,638 put outs.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 48-43 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 53-43 against the run line so far this season

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The St. Louis Cardinals are 37-55 against the over/under so far this season

The St. Louis Cardinals are 52-44 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta Braves

07/11/15 P Jason Grilli Achilles Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/17); out for season
06/27/15 P Williams Perez Foot Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/27)
06/23/15 1B Freddie Freeman Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/18)
06/04/15 P Daniel Winkler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
05/19/15 2B Philip Gosselin Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/18)
04/07/15 P Josh Outman Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/06/15 P Bronson Arroyo Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Mike Minor Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27); out for season
04/04/15 P Shae Simmons Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/20), out for season
04/04/15 P Chris Withrow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (2/21)

St. Louis Cardinals

07/24/15 1B Stephen Piscotty Neck "?" Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
07/06/15 P Jaime Garcia Groin Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/1)
07/03/15 CF Jon Jay Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/1)
07/01/15 P Matt Belisle Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/26)
05/27/15 1B Matt Adams Quad Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (05/26), out for regular season
05/03/15 P Jordan Walden Bicep Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/30)
04/28/15 P Adam Wainwright Achilles Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/25); out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves

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